Decaying C*2293 94-72A (page plug)

bjorn@tt-tech.se
Wed, 24 Apr 1996 9:45:19 +0100

Cosmos 2293 will decay around 17.May -96
 ---------------------------------------------------------------------
This is the justified but unedited header and text of the root
(http://algonet.se/~b_gimle/eorsat.htm) of a new tree of
articles and charts about the EORSATs during operation
and decay, and a comparison to photo recon satellites.

The links start from the #23336 line in the home (index.htm)
and decayers.htm  pages. As usual with Netscape, you can follow
the links before the miniature charts are completed, but if you
only want to pick a few charts, you may want to disable 'Images'
before you load the root page. The charts are also linked in an
(almost) circular wheel, with eorsat.htm as the hub, but the
order is at the moment not the same as in the following text.
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Cosmos 2293      6.0  0.0  0.0  4.5
1 23336U 94072  A 96114.40186927 +.00440256 +68709-5 +53284-3 0 01787
2 23336 064.9950 067.0026 0108389 254.9591 103.9629 15.96982904083652



NASA's (USSPACECOM's?) latest  60-decay prediction (Apr.18)  does not
yet list this object.

Cosmos  2293  is  one  of  the  Russian  'EORSAT's ( Electronic Ocean
Reconnaisance Satellites  ). The  operational orbits  of the  current
generation of these satellites has always been a circular orbit  with
Mean Motion of 15.520 anomalistic  orbits per day. Usually there  are
two or more satellites operating at any given time, and their  orbits
are controlled so that they pass at about 30 minutes intervals.  This
is maintained with a very  high precision, (See below.) unlike  photo
reconnaisance  satellites,  whose  orbits  are  adjusted  with  large
impulsive delta-V's, when atmospheric drag has lowered the orbit  too
much.

Since Cosmos  2293 was  commanded out  of its  operation orbit, about
960326, it appears to follow a normal decay curve. An earlier  EORSAT
that decayed normally after  being brought down from  the operational
orbits is Cosmos 2244.

Some  EORSATs  appear  to  have  had  their  orbit correction systems
running in the initial decay phase (Two-phase EORSAT decays)

and,  finally,  some  decayed  so  slowly  that  the orbit correction
systems appears to have been operating during the entire decay  (Slow
EORSAT decays)


The screen snapshot below shows Mean Motion values for EORSAT  Cosmos
2293 from elsets.

              To EORSAT Cosmos 2293 graph.


Operational EORSATs :

Cosmos 2326 is  still operational. The  screen snapshots below  shows
Mean Motion values from elsets.

You can see many cycles of decreasing MM, with intervals of about  12
days and amplitude of about  0.0015. This is very different  from the
normal operation of the KeyHoles and the Russian photo-reconnaissance
spacecraft, that  increase their  MM by  about a  hundred times  this
amplitude  by  atmospheric  drag  over  periods  of nine days to many
months, and then reclaim that by single (or double) rocket impulses.

The smooth decreases seem  to indicate a continuous  low-thrust orbit
correction system  - but  there are  lots of  data points between and
during  these  periods.  They   could  indicate  inaccurate   orbital
elements, or a correction system that is working by small impulses  -
not always exact.

              To EORSAT Cosmos 2326 graph.  See also "Novosti
Kosmonavtiki" article in seesat-l/2182.

Cosmos 2313 is operational, in the same orbital plane as 2326 (and 2293).

              To EORSAT Cosmos 2313 graph.


Reconnaisance satellites :

Cosmos 2320 is a typical Russian reconnaisance satellite.

The  size  of  MM  adjustments  vary  between about 0.2 and 0.02, the
intervals between 9  and 45 days  ! This is  very different from  the
normal operation of the EORSATs, that decrease their MM by about  one
percent of this amplitude over a period of 12 days, then quickly lose
that decrease by atmospheric drag (or rocket impulses).

The screen snapshot below shows Mean Motion values from elsets.

              To Recon sat Cosmos 2320 graph.

Cosmos 2305 was another typical photo reconnaisance satellite,
deorbited 951218:

              To Recon sat Cosmos 2305 graph.

Other EORSATs that decayed normally :

              To EORSAT Cosmos 2244 graph.



EORSATs that decayed slowly at first :

Note that, approximately  midway through the  decay, ndot2 (the  time
derivative of Mean Motion) suddenly multiplies by a factor of 4-5 !

              To EORSAT Cosmos 2258 graph.

              To EORSAT Cosmos 2238 graph.



EORSATs that decayed slowly all the time :


Note  that  because  the  orbit  correction  system  apparantly   was
operating  during  the  entire  decay  phase, my normal approximation
function does not work (the shape of the curve is different, not only
the slope)!

              To EORSAT Cosmos 2264 graph.



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