Decay update: Polar R and others

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 29 Apr 1996 23:34:46 +0100

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The latest OIG elements for #23803 are:
Polar r  
1 23803U 96013B   96120.54575331  .03350731 -12900-5  53808-3 0  1513
2 23803  85.8950 348.6472 0105225  32.4786 328.3894 16.18114401 10029
Polar r  
1 23803U 96013B   96120.61713810  .03250518 -12985-5  45904-3 0  1521
2 23803  85.8949 348.6021 0105009  32.5655  23.9784 16.18718403 10032
(the latter being some way from an equator crossing)

My SatEvo analysis continues to show the projected decay slipping; it
is now May 1.5 (from Apr 30.8 last Thursday and May 1.2 yesterday!).
Predicted elements:
Polar r  
1 23803U 96013B   96121.03990676  .04044115  39876-2  56018-3 0 91510
2 23803  85.8937 348.3342 0091192  30.3490 330.1760 16.21844546 10109
Polar r  
1 23803U 96013B   96121.53287531  .04960594  96013-2  57244-3 0 91510
2 23803  85.8921 348.0201 0074611  28.2123 332.1900 16.26215386 10184
Polar r  
1 23803U 96013B   96122.02432681  .07751679  36590-1  63853-3 0 91514
2 23803  85.8900 347.7046 0053160  26.0669 334.1971 16.32154411 10268
Polar r  
1 23803U 96013B   96122.45230221  .32242398  10177+1  79816-3 0 91516
2 23803  85.8860 347.4266 0020950  24.1780 335.9198 16.43944713 10330

                  ------------------------------------

Some other decaying objects also seem to be enjoying a stay of
execution. Objects #22479 = 92- 93 FU  (SL-16 deb) and 
#20013 = 77-121 BV (Cosmos 970 deb) are both now predicted to 
decay on May 5.

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224

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