Re: Decay of #24666 = 96- 67 B (Centaur r)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 4 Apr 1997 20:51:02 +0100

The latest OIG elset for this object is:
Centaur r                                        6710 x 100 km
1 24666U 96067B   97094.70777550  .75566461 -12660-4  45394-2 0  1954
2 24666  23.7308 128.5807 3378017 296.9146  32.7804  8.97224110  3603

This shows it running 9.0 minutes early with respect to the SatEvo
prediction I posted yesterday; not too bad considering that the orbital
period had fallen by 23+ minutes during the intervening 26 hours. Again,
the published ndot2 term is unrealistically low. 

A new evolution gives a revised decay prediction for about April 7.1 and
the following predicted elsets:
Centaur r                                        6103 x 101 km
1 24666U 96067B   97095.03457401  .70533174  89730-1  39599-2 0 91846
2 24666  23.6782 127.3670 3165782 298.6646  33.1603  9.40585586   267
Centaur r                                        5100 x 101 km
1 24666U 96067B   97095.54553096  .86446431  12263+0  41479-2 0 91840
2 24666  23.6448 125.8245 2784004 301.3546  34.3309 10.20491969   314
Centaur r                                        4104 x 101 km
1 24666U 96067B   97096.01566186 1.10018329  22707+0  44304-2 0 91840
2 24666  23.6126 124.1814 2360118 304.2213  35.5899 11.11718914   365

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
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