Re: Decaying Soyuz-U - #24758 = 97- 14 B

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Wed, 9 Apr 1997 19:18:13 +0100

I wrote:
>The Soyuz-U rocket responsible for the recent Progress M-34 launch
>should decay at about April 8.65 according to my calculations.
>...
and provided SatEvo predicted elsets, including
>Progress M-34 Soyuz-U r                          133 x 129 km
>1 24758U 97014B   97098.61890305  .66870905  50128+1  45525-3 0 90050
>2 24758  51.6351  75.0384 0002978  86.3209 273.7131 16.53166289   326

Just for the record, the final OIG elset for this is:
Progress M-34 Soyuz-U r                          142 x 133 km
1 24758U 97014B   97098.61913833  .28945010  12713-4  28302-3 0   226
2 24758  51.6161  75.0723 0006695  81.3271 278.8541 16.50677566   329
showing it running 19 seconds late against my prediction. I suspect
decay occurred at about April 8.71 (17.00 UTC).

Alan
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