SatEvo decay list #52
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 19 Apr 1998 19:41:56 +0100
SatEvo decay list #52 (issued 1998 April 19)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
The "Actual" decay dates are my estimates based on the published
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days.
Objects are included here if I anticipate their decay by May 31,
although several larger and/or more interesting decayers are
included beyond that date. With solar activity remaining at very
high levels, most decay dates have been brought forward since my
previous list.
This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via
my SatEvo page at
http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
In addition you can find current elsets for the still-to-decay
objects below, together with other objects of interest, including
Mir, the Iridium satellites and all recently launched/catalogued
objects. These files are mirrored for anonymous FTP access at
ftp://ftp.satellite.eu.org/pub/sat/mirrors/pickup/
and are updated several times daily.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1998) -----
Predicted Actual?
24041 94- 29 CN STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 6
24144 94- 29 GT STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 6
25140 86- 17 MK Mir deb April 7.5
24188 94- 29 JP STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 8.3
25238 98- 13 B Hot Bird 4 Ariane r April 8.31
24364 94- 29 PR STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 8.7
24997 94- 29 ADE STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 11
25150 92- 72 E Galaxy 7 Ariane deb April 11? Note 1
21892 92- 9 C Navstar 24 r2 (PAM-D) April 12.42
24574 94- 29 YA STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 12
24615 94- 29 ZT STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 13
25142 86- 17 ML Mir deb April 13
25295 97- 80 C Cosmos 2348 deb April 14.3
25296 97- 80 D Cosmos 2348 deb April 14.4
24035 94- 29 CG STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 15
24970 97- 56 F Iridium 19 Delta r April 17.95
20132 88- 98 C TDF 1 Ariane 2 deb April 22
24787 97- 19 B GOES 10 Centaur r April 22.2
23193 94- 47 B DBS 2 Atlas Centaur r April 22.9
25144 87- 79 M Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb April 23
25264 98- 18 C Iridium 51 CZ-2C r April 24.0
25044 97- 69 F Iridium 43 Delta r April 24.7
22943 83- 75 AG Cosmos 1484 deb April 26
23063 89- 89 BJ COBE deb April 26? Note 1
24083 94- 29 EE STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 26
25196 87- 68 X Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb April 27?
25283 86- 17 MM Mir deb April 27
24423 94- 29 SB STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 28
25177 87- 68 C Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb April 29? Note 1
25250 87- 68 BT Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb April 30
22852 89- 89 AP COBE deb May 1
23910 86- 17 KY Mir deb May 2
24554 94- 29 XE STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 2
25195 87- 68 W Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb May 2
24408 94- 29 RM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 4
21057 91- 3 C Italsat 1 Ariane r May 5
24633 94- 29 AAM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 6
24098 94- 29 EV STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 7
24384 94- 29 QM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 7
24354 94- 29 PF STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 8
19380 88- 69 D Molniya 1-73 r2 May 10? Note 2
21895 92- 10 C Superbird B1 Ariane r May 10
23069 89- 89 BQ COBE deb May 10
24419 86- 17 LV Mir deb May 11
23085 89- 89 CG COBE deb May 12
15344 71-120 F Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb May 14
24747 97- 10 D Zeya deb May 15
24991 94- 29 ACY STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 15
24958 97- 58 C Sputnik-40 May 16
25277 98- 19 F Iridium 55 Delta r May 16
25293 86- 17 MN Mir deb May 16
14034 83- 38 A Cosmos 1456 May 17
24214 94- 29 KM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 18
24350 94- 29 PB STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 18
24552 94- 29 XC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 19
24746 97- 10 C Zeya deb May 22
24169 94- 29 GA STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 23
25265 98- 18 D Iridium 51 CS02 S/D May 23
23262 90- 81 CT FY-1B CZ-4 deb May 26
23920 86- 17 LG Mir deb May 29
24649 96- 62 B Mars GS Delta 2 r June 22
19730 88-115 A Molniya 1-74 July
24294 96- 50 D Interbol 2 Molniya-M r July
25109 97- 82 F Iridium 45 Delta r July
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 August
25174 98- 10 F Iridium 50 Delta r August
25100 97- 58 D Inspektor September
Notes
1. No recent elsets.
2. #19380 (88- 69 D = Molniya 1-73 r2). My previous list had this
decaying about March 25. Elsets show it still in orbit on April 15
(31620 x 83 km) but it may have been lost again. The decay date
above is very uncertain.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/