Decay watch: Apr 12
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Mon, 12 Apr 1999 21:19:13 +0100
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Object: #7418 = 74- 66 B = Cosmos 673 r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 3 14:52 Apr 11 18:14 +-5d 75.8 S 31.4 E
SpaceCom Apr 6 22:50 Apr 13 21:52 +-4d 53.9 S 158.1 W
SpaceCom Apr 9 17:46 Apr 13 17:32 +-2d 75.2 S 68.8 W
SpaceCom Apr 10 16:10 Apr 13 13:53 +-2d 80.1 N 166.7 W
SpaceCom Apr 11 11:32 Apr 13 10:26 +-1d 38.7 S 175.1 E
SpaceCom Apr 12 10:15 Apr 13 09:53 +-14h 1.7 S 11.1 E
SatEvo Apr 3 21:15 Apr 14 15:00 +-3d
SatEvo Apr 5 21:30 Apr 14 15:00 +-2.5d
SatEvo Apr 7 16:25 Apr 14 05:00 +-2d
SatEvo Apr 9 21:50 Apr 13 13:05 +-1d 74.8 S 4.0 W
SatEvo Apr 11 19:45 Apr 13 08:38 +-10h 68.2 S 51.3 E
SatEvo Apr 12 19:40 Apr 13 09:04 +-4h 0.0 158.0 W
Latest elset:
Cosmos 673 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 182 x 166 km
1 07418U 74066B 99102.58719349 .04999664 -97543-6 55455-3 0 9630
2 07418 81.1863 180.3344 0011861 256.5520 103.8432 16.37005855358292
SatEvo prediction:
Cosmos 673 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 172 x 158 km
1 07418U 74066B 99102.83138587 .07640484 33957-1 56639-3 0 99630
2 07418 81.1852 179.9945 0010257 255.5731 104.3130 16.40267757358333
Cosmos 673 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 162 x 151 km
1 07418U 74066B 99103.01423975 .10230918 65915-1 38019-3 0 99631
2 07418 81.1841 179.7387 0008778 254.8368 105.0661 16.43484786358368
Cosmos 673 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 140 x 133 km
1 07418U 74066B 99103.25732751 .26611642 77621+0 26954-3 0 99636
2 07418 81.1814 179.3964 0005728 253.8511 106.0858 16.51010907358409
Cosmos 673 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 128 x 122 km
1 07418U 74066B 99103.31786825 .55704861 43785+1 29854-3 0 99639
2 07418 81.1799 179.3103 0004136 253.6035 106.3511 16.55536390358410
Note: The latest elset has this running 1 second late against
yesterday's prediction. I predict decay near a northbound equator
crossing near Christmas Island in the mid-Pacific.
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Object: #14329 = 83- 94 B = Satcom 2 R Delta 1 r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 8 20:00 Apr 15 16:32 +-4d 17.9 S 6.4 E
SpaceCom Apr 11 21:32 Apr 15 20:46 +-2d 3.1 S 107.8 W
SatEvo Apr 9 21:45 Apr 15 14:00 +-1.5d
SatEvo Apr 11 19:55 Apr 15 15:15 +-1d
SatEvo Apr 12 19:55 Apr 15 13:47 +-15h 23.9 N 117.7 E
Latest elset:
Satcm2R Del 1 r 6.4 2.0 0.0 5.0 d 291 x 194 km
1 14329U 83094B 99102.48311357 .02015524 -11583-4 11401-2 0 00
2 14329 25.4401 80.1231 0073534 67.2714 293.5778 16.11555066725260
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Object: #25496 = 96- 57 B = Hotbird 5 Centaur r
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Apr 11 14:41 Apr 12 05:41 +-10h 7.5 N 177.0 E
SpaceCom Apr 11 19:23 Apr 14 13:57 +-2d 19.6 S 99.5 W
SpaceCom Apr 12 10:37 Apr 14 06:14 +-1d 4.0 N 155.7 E
SatEvo Apr 9 22:00 Apr 14 22:00 +-2.5d
SatEvo Apr 11 20:10 Apr 14 20:10 +-1d
SatEvo Apr 12 20:00 Apr 14 15:52 +-12h 0.0 0.9 W
Latest elset:
Hotbird 5 Centaur r 5274 x 110 km
1 25496U 98057B 99102.72477228 .71120014 -61520-5 54510-2 0 2115
2 25496 24.7732 88.1123 2846179 343.6348 156.7978 10.05058730 5146
SatEvo prediction:
Hotbird 5 Centaur r 4618 x 112 km
1 25496U 98057B 99103.07188932 .86687979 13112+0 62898-2 0 92113
2 25496 24.7582 86.9739 2577084 345.5922 8.2517 10.62003106 5187
Hotbird 5 Centaur r 3714 x 112 km
1 25496U 98057B 99103.52441821 1.10040106 22842+0 67495-2 0 92113
2 25496 24.7364 85.3006 2172191 348.4701 7.2553 11.50070287 5239
Hotbird 5 Centaur r 2589 x 109 km
1 25496U 98057B 99104.01954627 1.49248654 28607+0 62776-2 0 92113
2 25496 24.7028 83.1247 1604641 352.2136 5.5647 12.78160144 5297
Note: This was all of 7.3 minutes early against yesterday's prediction
at the epoch of the latest elset.
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Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/