Decay watch: Apr 23 (Molniya 3-16 r2)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 23 Apr 1999 22:18:05 +0100

SpaceCom has issued its first decay warning for the Molniya 3-16 r2.
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Object: #12519 = 81- 54 E = Molniya 3-16 r2

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Apr 22 12:05     Apr 29 12:41 +-1d         8.6 S    56.3 E

SatEvo     Apr 23 20:45     May  1 04:00 +-2d

Latest elset:
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  1606 x 107 km
1 12519U 81054E   99113.46847031  .07728930  23951-4  23267-3 0  7847
2 12519  61.9094 128.1390 1035641 307.8908  43.2764 14.10897549 99437

SatEvo prediction:
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  1543 x 106 km
1 12519U 81054E   99114.03360466  .08233954  13932-2  23147-3 0 97843
2 12519  61.9055 126.3839 0997582 308.0934  43.3178 14.20222498 99519
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  1433 x 105 km
1 12519U 81054E   99115.01374853  .08673941  16106-2  22370-3 0 97844
2 12519  61.8985 123.2813 0929135 308.4528  43.5640 14.36784250 99657
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  1313 x 104 km
1 12519U 81054E   99116.05117246  .09222865  19397-2  21539-3 0 97847
2 12519  61.8908 119.9108 0852836 308.8451  43.8436 14.55333239 99804
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/