Decay watch: Apr 27

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Tue, 27 Apr 1999 21:08:44 +0100

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Object: #12519 = 81- 54 E = Molniya 3-16 r2

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Apr 22 12:05     Apr 29 12:41 +-1d         8.6 S    56.3 E
SpaceCom   Apr 26 13:27     Apr 30 09:35 +-2d         6.3 S   101.1 E
SpaceCom   Apr 27 07:48     Apr 30 07:49 +-2d        36.9 S   106.7 E

SatEvo     Apr 23 20:45     May  1 04:00 +-2d
SatEvo     Apr 26 18:30     May  1 19:04 +-1.3d      40.4 S    73.4 W
SatEvo     Apr 27 20:00     May  1 03:29 +-1d        41.6 S   162.2 E

Latest elset:
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  1075 x 104 km
1 12519U 81054E   99117.63249993  .12361199  74336-5  25760-3 0  8046
2 12519  61.8883 114.5843 0696768 308.9225 153.3876 14.92730180100033

SatEvo prediction:
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  1010 x 103 km
1 12519U 81054E   99118.01293225  .14019998  69608-2  27185-3 0 98040
2 12519  61.8839 113.2504 0653515 309.0786  45.2851 15.03435630100094
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  916 x 102 km
1 12519U 81054E   99118.54241839  .15273825  90157-2  26828-3 0 98040
2 12519  61.8780 111.3587 0590937 309.3006  45.6048 15.18917787100170
Molniya 3-16 r2                                  829 x 101 km
1 12519U 81054E   99119.00115262  .16689180  11767-1  26560-3 0 98040
2 12519  61.8728 109.6835 0532032 309.4979  45.9158 15.33550964100240

Note: The latest elset shows this running 80 seconds early against the
prediction I posted yesterday.
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Object: #388 = 62- 39 D = FTV 3502 Scout r

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Apr 27 00:20     May  3 18:06 +-4d        65.6 N   171.1 W

SatEvo     Apr 27 19:45     May  4 00:00 +-2d

Latest elset:
FTV3502 Scout r  1.5  0.5  0.0  6.5 d            255 x 251 km
1 00388U 62039D   99117.62272590  .01127222  75268-3  14113-2 0  6930
2 00388  98.5372 331.4549 0002569 288.7059  71.4859 16.07828827973603
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:   alan@wingar.demon.co.uk    +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:     http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/