Even nigher... --------------------------------------------------------------------- Object: #12519 = 81- 54 E = Molniya 3-16 r2 Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SpaceCom Apr 22 12:05 Apr 29 12:41 +-1d 8.6 S 56.3 E SpaceCom Apr 26 13:27 Apr 30 09:35 +-2d 6.3 S 101.1 E SpaceCom Apr 27 07:48 Apr 30 07:49 +-2d 36.9 S 106.7 E SpaceCom Apr 28 11:01 Apr 30 06:16 +-1d 41.1 S 126.0 E SpaceCom Apr 29 06:25 Apr 30 06:49 +-15h 58.5 N 153.8 W SpaceCom Apr 29 15:24 Apr 30 03:25 +-2h 12.7 S 169.6 W SpaceCom Apr 29 21:37 Apr 30 03:27 +-4h 4.8 S 165.9 W SatEvo Apr 23 20:45 May 1 04:00 +-2d SatEvo Apr 26 18:30 May 1 19:04 +-1.3d 40.4 S 73.4 W SatEvo Apr 27 20:00 May 1 03:29 +-1d 41.6 S 162.2 E SatEvo Apr 28 20:45 May 1 00:27 +-16h 40.6 S 150.6 W SatEvo Apr 29 06:45 Apr 30 15:15 +-10h 41.8 S 12.1 W SatEvo Apr 29 19:35 Apr 30 09:12 +-6h 40.9 S 81.0 E SatEvo Apr 29 22:35 Apr 30 04:42 +-2h 42.8 S 147.4 E Latest elset: Molniya 3-16 r2 431 x 99 km 1 12519U 81054E 99119.91311007 .70177935 11432-4 67532-3 0 8187 2 12519 61.8478 106.1893 0249786 308.0587 150.2174 16.03473185100389 SatEvo prediction: Molniya 3-16 r2 412 x 96 km 1 12519U 81054E 99119.95807138 .62525480 38288+0 51834-3 0 98156 2 12519 61.8580 105.9866 0238154 308.8897 49.0098 16.07354400100392 Molniya 3-16 r2 368 x 95 km 1 12519U 81054E 99120.02017246 .71536137 62946+0 52694-3 0 98153 2 12519 61.8545 105.7304 0205917 308.9202 49.2617 16.15639588100403 Molniya 3-16 r2 316 x 94 km 1 12519U 81054E 99120.08193956 .86886405 11931+1 54551-3 0 98157 2 12519 61.8516 105.4723 0168428 308.9510 49.5600 16.25324604100417 Molniya 3-16 r2 251 x 93 km 1 12519U 81054E 99120.14331030 1.23838205 37377+1 59953-3 0 98151 2 12519 61.8478 105.2118 0120449 308.9822 49.9511 16.37824742100424 Note: I observed this at 22:50 UTC this evening (Apr 29), varying from mag 5.5 to invisible (below mag 7.5 in moonlight) on a pass reaching 30 deg in the N at a distance of ~700 km. --------------------------------------------------------------------- Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/