Re: Predictions

From: Tony Beresford (aberesford@iprimus.com.au)
Date: Thu Apr 12 2001 - 05:16:37 PDT

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    At 19:54 12/04/01 , Eduardo Pulver wrote:
    >Can anyone explain me why during 10 days Heavens-Above , and J-Pass web 
    >pages have had different predictions for recent ISS pass (leaving Earth's 
    >shadow ) and the previous day of the event they coincide exactly? The 
    >differences during the ten days almost reached 1.5 minutes.
    >
    >Which Satellite  prediction program is te best in accuracy?
    Eduardo,
    I suspect it is because the J-Pass system is using non-current elements
    and it is showing in the result. We dont know this of course because
    J-Pass doesnt tell you the epoch of its elements ( Heavens-above does)
    I noticed the same differences as you mention on the J-Pass e-mail service.
    
    The information provided on that service is in itself in a format too hard for 
    the "man in the street" to interpret easily that I wouldnt recommend it to
    anybody. The same problem of interpretation goes for the format of the
    sightings section. I know several local reporters who found the information
    indigestible. 
    
    Please remember that the best is ultimately that which predicts the
    satellite most accurately as determined by Observation.
    Tony Beresford
     
    
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