Report time 20:00 UTC 2002-017C (#27411) MOLNIYA RB - PLATFORM aka BOZ SPACECOM'S 12 HOURS BEFORE DECAY message - issued April 18, 08:12 UTC - predicted the decay on 18 April,20:29 UTC +/- 08 hours (25.0°N, 59.4°E) on a southbound pass over the Arabian Sea. MPM+REENTRY deliver with ELSETs 02108.336.... + 02108.459... (SFX 190, ap 027) the decay 18 April, 20:28 UTC +/- 27 minutes (26.00°N, 58.90°E) also descending over the Arabian Sea near the coast line. But later we saw two ELSETs 02108.703... and 02108.763... with large increases of the eccentricity and a dramatic shift of the argument of perigee. Are they really describing #27411 ? It is possible that we had a breakup of the Platform around 16:08 UTC und SPACECOM is tracking a fragment? Based on the last two ELSETs - they are also not very compatible - I estimate a decay of my "fragment" on 19:36 UTC +/- 05 minutes over the South Pacific. But let us wait and see.... Harro Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de Berlin, Germany ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Apr 18 2002 - 16:39:04 EDT