RE: Soyuz TM-34 visibility for SA

From: Ted Molczan (molczan@rogers.com)
Date: Wed Apr 24 2002 - 21:03:50 EDT

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    Willie Koorts requested early elements. I have estimated pre-flight
    elements. 
    
    If Soyuz TM-34 enters the same altitude orbit as Soyuz TM-33 did, then
    after launch on 2002 Apr 25 at 06:26 UTC its rev 4 elements will be:
    
    1 70001U          02115.52097415  .00260000  00000-0  44427-3 0    16
    2 70001  51.6403 318.1204 0040270 287.5477 152.4950 16.00098970    41
    
    Unfortunately, there are no good sighting opportunities from Cape Town.
    There is a pre-dawn pass on 26 Apr, but it exits eclipse at culmination,
    about 7 deg elevation.
    
    Prediction time accuracy for 26 Apr should be accurate to within several
    minutes.
    
    There will be good ISS passes in evening in a few days.
    
    Ted Molczan
    
    
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