Decay watch: 2002 April 26 (Starshine 2)

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Fri Apr 26 2002 - 03:08:04 EDT

  • Next message: Harro Zimmer: "Decay Forecast Starshine 2"

    I have updated my Decay Watch page with my final pre-decay prediction 
    for Starshine 2. In summary:
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26996 = 01- 54 B = Starshine 2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Apr 26 05:13     Apr 26 11:15 +-5h        27.7 N    63.6 E
    SatEvo     Apr 26 07:00     Apr 26 11:20 +-3h         1.5 N    84.8 E
    
    Latest elset:
    Starshine 2      0.5  0.0  0.0  9.5 d  0.5       160 x 155 km
    1 26996U 01054B   02116.07871846  .07823799  12467-4  36415-3 0  2212
    2 26996  51.6178 292.5025 0003984 251.6712 108.4932 16.43191138 20663
    
    SatEvo prediction:
    Starshine 2      0.5  0.0  0.0  9.5 d  0.5       148 x 144 km
    1 26996U 01054B   02116.26091289  .15284276  21871+0  28486-3 0 92210
    2 26996  51.6166 291.4647 0003160 252.4465 107.5190 16.47389767 20698
    Starshine 2      0.5  0.0  0.0  9.5 d  0.5       142 x 139 km
    1 26996U 01054B   02116.32153453  .20795704  44559+0  25975-3 0 92216
    2 26996  51.6160 291.1178 0002752 252.7057 107.2642 16.49537608 20706
    Starshine 2      0.5  0.0  0.0  9.5 d  0.5       134 x 131 km
    1 26996U 01054B   02116.38206109  .35386434  15860+1  25853-3 0 92210
    2 26996  51.6152 290.7701 0002170 252.9654 107.0108 16.52751594 20715
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 2.4 sec late against the
    prediction I posted 12 hours ago. I now put the decay almost a half
    rev later and have it southbound over the equatorial Indian Ocean on
    the orbit following the final SatEvo-predicted orbit above.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
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