SatEvo decay list #82

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 6 Aug 1999 21:08:51 +0100

SatEvo decay list #82  (issued 1999 August 6)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses 
is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L,
and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
Information about SeeSat-L is available at
   http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published
orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects
are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by
1999 September 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers 
are included beyond that date.

This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via 
my SatEvo page at
               http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all
the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus
elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle, 
and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects.


   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 14448   71- 15 CS  Cosmos 397 deb                     July 22
 25820   98- 42 F   Tubsat N SSN-23 deb                July 24
 25780   99- 32 D   Iridium 14A CSL02 S/D              July 25.40
 25871   86- 17 NH  Mir deb                            July 25
 20354   89- 96 C   Granat Proton r                    July 25.67
 25202   87- 68 AD  Meteor 2-16 deb                    July 28
 25870   86- 17 NG  Mir deb                            July 28.62
 25685   99- 15 C   Sputnik 99                         July 29.73
 24582   94- 29 YJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July 30
 25877   86- 17 NJ  Mir deb                            July 31.34
 25216   87- 68 AT  Meteor 2-16 deb                    July 31
 23311   85-118 W   C 1710 Proton deb                August  1
 24374   94- 29 QB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               August  1
 25879   86- 17 NL  Mir deb                          August  2
 25878   86- 17 NK  Mir deb                          August  3
 25792   99- 35 B   FUSE Delta 2 r                   August  4.23
 22935   83- 75 Y   Cosmos 1484 deb                  August  4  Note 1
 24145   94- 29 GU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               August  4  Note 1
 18547   70- 25 PP  Nimbus 4 Agena deb      August  6
 25714   89-100 AY  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb    August  7
 24118   94- 29 FR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  9
 25453   87- 68 CA  Meteor 2-16 deb         August 11
 24414   94- 29 RT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 12
 24440   94- 29 SW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 12
 24495   94- 29 UU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 13
 25702   89-100 AX  C 2053 Tsyklon deb      August 13
 25625   99-  4 E   Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1    August 16
 25846   99- 67 D   ISS deb                 August 17
 25447   94- 29 AEC STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 29
 25819   94- 27 C   SROSS ASLV-D4 deb       August 30
 25099   90-103 D   Navstar 22 deb          August 31
 25712   89-100 BH  C 2053 Tsyklon deb   September  2
 25653   99- 12 E   Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 September  4
 25764   79-104 F   CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb   September  4
 24272   64- 26 H   Transit 9 deb        September  5
 24373   94- 29 QA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  6
 25691   86- 17 NE  Mir deb              September  9
 25518   98- 63 D   Afristar mini-spelda September 10
 10339   77- 65 DN  Himawari 1 Delta deb September 12
 25446   94- 29 AEB STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 15
 15076   84- 63 E   Raduga 15 aux motor  September 29
 22878   93- 68 B   GPS 2-23 Delta r1    September 30
 25680   99- 19 E   Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1   October 11
 24744   97- 10 A   Zeya                  November 
 24832   97- 28 E   C 2344 SOZ ullage r   November
 25550   98- 69 B   SAC-A                 November
  4222   69- 97 B   AZUR Scout r          December
 19377   88- 69 A   Molniya 1-73          December
 22016   92- 39 C   GPS 2-14 Delta r2     December
 24972   97- 57 B   IRS-1D r              December
 25551   98- 69 C   MightySat             December
 24291   96- 50 A   Microsat              2000 Jan
 25014   97- 63 B   STEP M4 Pegasus r     2000 Jan
 25500   98- 25 F   C 2350 aux motor      2000 Jan
  1844   65-106 B   Cosmos 100 r          2000 Feb
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2     2000 Feb
 25790   99- 34 B   QuikScat Titan 2 r    2000 Feb
  7969   75- 56 B   Cosmos 744 r          2000 Mar - Apr
  9854   77- 15 B   Cosmos 895 r          2000 Mar - Apr
 22564   93- 15 B   UFO 1 r1              2000 Mar - Apr
 22876   93- 67 B   Cosmos 2265 r         2000 Mar - Apr
 25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r           2000 Mar - Apr
 25769   99- 30 B   Starshine             2000 Mar - Apr
 16609   86- 17 A   Mir                   2000 Jun - Sep


Note

1. SpaceCom has yet to confirm this decay.


Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/