Report time 12:10 UTC 1996-056C (#24321) NAVSTAR 39 RB ( PAM-D) Not only SpaceCom has these days problems with decay predictions caused by the impact of the rapid changing solar activity on the atmosphere. Their last prediction - prepared August 13, 02:09 UTC - shows the decay on 14 August, 22:34 UTC +/- 01 day (15.4°S, 187.5°E) This was already yesterday definitely too early and also the last ELSETs 00227.117... and 00227.250 delivers with MPM + REENTRY a decay on 15 August, 11:19 UTC +/- 90 minutes (34.85°N, 109.35°E) Let us now wait for the overdue TIP message 1 DAYS BFEORE DECAY. In about 24 hours I will show a reliable prediction for the other decayer - 1983-025D (#13967) MOLNIYA RB 2. SpaceCom's fresh forecast - prepared August 14, 07:23 UTC - delivers the decay on 16 August, 06:41 UTC +/- 01 day (03.3°N 160.4°E) This type of rocket body shows often a "castrophic" decay. I will wait with my estimate until tomorrow.... Harro Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de Berlin, Germany ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Aug 14 2000 - 05:48:09 PDT