The Tiros rocket came down a little earlier than predicted, though
SpaceCom's final notice is overdue. Here, in summary form, are the
latest updates to my Decay Watch page.
As a further addition to the page, I am now maintaining a list of all
recent decays, not just those for which decay notices have been posted.
Until now, this information has only been published in my SatEvo Decay
Lists.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #229 = 62- 2 D = Tiros 4 r
Decay prediction/analysis:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Aug 10 00:08 Aug 10 02:25 +-2h 9.1 S 168.0 W
SatEvo Aug 10 19:50 Aug 10 02:12 +-45m 29.2 S 172.1 E
Final elset:
Tiros 4 r 164 x 160 km
1 00229U 62002D 02221.97715915 .26739571 11905-4 16051-2 0 6525
2 00229 48.2178 193.9882 0002747 247.7677 112.3006 16.41439878157079
Note: I estimate that this decayed northbound to the N of New zealand
near the end of the following SatEvo-predicted orbit:
Tiros 4 r 149 x 146 km
1 00229U 62002D 02222.03792315 .68753729 57045+1 14575-2 0 96528
2 00229 48.2163 193.6175 0001978 248.1071 111.8719 16.46885231157082
SpaceCom's final analysis has not yet appeared.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26928 = 01- 42 B = Atlantic Bird 2 Ariane 44P rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Aug 10 15:32 Aug 11 15:40 +-15h 6.7 S 52.5 E
SatEvo Aug 10 20:05 Aug 11 15:39 +-9h 7.3 S 30.6 E
Latest elset:
Atlantic Bird 2 Ariane 44P r 2101 x 106 km
1 26928U 01042B 02222.55461745 .63780117 -79016-4 20396-2 0 3828
2 26928 7.2789 320.8829 1333406 230.8077 116.6212 13.41541180 9502
SatEvo prediction:
Atlantic Bird 2 Ariane 44P r 1572 x 102 km
1 26928U 01042B 02223.06219139 .88154820 25264+0 19559-2 0 93824
2 26928 7.2740 317.7423 1018504 237.0131 112.7869 14.16624854 9578
Atlantic Bird 2 Ariane 44P r 1304 x 100 km
1 26928U 01042B 02223.27081700 1.09439625 45715+0 19534-2 0 93827
2 26928 7.2715 316.3333 0850269 239.7969 111.5122 14.57411622 9609
Atlantic Bird 2 Ariane 44P r 847 x 95 km
1 26928U 01042B 02223.53886982 1.85398488 19882+1 21333-2 0 93823
2 26928 7.2672 314.3712 0548469 243.6738 110.5909 15.31603877 9648
Atlantic Bird 2 Ariane 44P r 689 x 94 km
1 26928U 01042B 02223.60363167 2.39581718 37835+1 22839-2 0 93826
2 26928 7.2660 313.8595 0439465 244.6848 110.6993 15.58718399 9656
Atlantic Bird 2 Ariane 44P r 477 x 92 km
1 26928U 01042B 02223.66717347 3.85229134 16407+2 26719-2 0 93822
2 26928 7.2638 313.3343 0289184 245.7226 111.2297 15.96383621 9663
Note: I think that decay is most likely following perigee on the
penultimate of these SatEvo-predicted revs. This puts it eastbound
over Tanzania.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe'
in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org
http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Aug 10 2002 - 16:27:07 EDT