The Meteor decay is still possible over Europe in a few hours. The
following is from my Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #4119 = 69- 84 A = Meteor 1-2
The second fully operational Soviet meteorological satellite
launched on October 6, 1969. It was of the Meteor M-type.
(Diameter : 2 m Length : 5 m Mass : 3800 kg)
Notice prepared: 2002 Aug 20 18:15 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Aug 20 15:19 Aug 20 21:31 +-4h 4.7 N 0.0
SatEvo Aug 20 18:15 Aug 20 21:31 +-2h 19.1 N 1.4 E
Latest elset:
Meteor 1-2 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.8 v 12 162 x 146 km
1 04119U 69084A 02232.59015102 .10643376 -97551-6 29647-3 0 5692
2 04119 81.1154 290.5596 0012128 265.1424 94.8666 16.44480584721262
SatEvo prediction:
Meteor 1-2 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.8 v 12 143 x 132 km
1 04119U 69084A 02232.77238453 .26684051 72915+0 27212-3 0 95694
2 04119 81.1133 290.3007 0008562 264.4045 95.4979 16.50738278721292
Meteor 1-2 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.8 v 12 129 x 122 km
1 04119U 69084A 02232.83293679 .58197577 49024+1 31817-3 0 95691
2 04119 81.1118 290.2140 0006092 264.1573 95.7732 16.55297933721306
Note: The latest elset shows this running only 4.4 sec early against
the prediction I posted yesterday. I now predict the decay for a
northbound pass over Mali, northern Africa at the end of the final
SatEvo-predicted rev above. If it stays in orbit a little longer there
is a pass a cross Europe from near Marseille, France, at 21:37 UTC to
Bremen, Germany, at 21:39 and just E of Oslo, Norway, at 21:41. SpaceCom
now has a very similar decay estimate. The uncertainty is still more
than one orbit either way.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Tue Aug 20 2002 - 14:33:55 EDT