The following notices are taken from my updated Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22851 = 92- 21 F = Telecom 2B Ariane 44L+ deb F
Final analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Aug 29 10:23 Aug 29 16:29 +-5h 3.1 N 79.5 W
SatEvo Aug 29 21:50 Aug 29 16:32 +-3h 2.6 N 92.8 W
Final elsets:
Ariane V44 rDb 11.4 2.6 0.0 4.0 v 47 836 x 120 km
1 22851U 92021F 02240.72656595 .33855958 -29501-4 12384-2 0 6170
2 22851 3.7624 97.6083 0522272 341.6541 17.7230 15.29284847110933
Ariane V44 rDb 11.4 2.6 0.0 4.0 v 47 617 x 86 km
1 22851U 92021F 02241.24229567 .73368871 -32129-4 46285-3 0 6189
2 22851 3.7598 98.9463 0393882 344.4780 11.6039 15.72589451111015
Ariane V44 rDb 11.4 2.6 0.0 4.0 v 47 675 x 14 km
1 22851U 92021F 02241.30511008 .54462879 00000-0 00000-0 0 6193
2 22851 3.9985 96.0765 0491361 7.0542 346.2539 15.74974368111020
Note: The final elsets indicate perigee heights that are much too
low. My estimate for an elset for the final equator crossing is:
Ariane V44 rDb 11.4 2.6 0.0 4.0 v 47 288 x 111 km
1 22851U 92021F 02241.68173097 1.54971554 56253+1 16345-2 0 96148
2 22851 3.7371 89.9553 0134526 357.1051 2.8178 16.27552934111084
I estimate that this decayed over the eastern Pacific, possibly
between the Galapagos Is and southern Mexico. Given the poor elsets,
the prediction is uncertain. SpaceCom's final notices have not appeared
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27435 = 02- 25 B = Ofeq 5 Shavit rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Aug 30 14:02 Aug 31 14:26 +-15h 14.7 S 63.8 E
SatEvo Aug 30 17:30 Aug 31 13:29 +-7h 5.2 S 75.8 W
Latest elset:
Ofeq5 Shavit r 3.0 1.2 0.0 6.0 d 4 252 x 183 km
1 27435U 02025B 02242.53285071 .05367376 -18606-4 17995-2 0 1663
2 27435 143.4511 91.6626 0052068 187.6467 230.5655 16.20730508 14566
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(..ends)
Ofeq5 Shavit r 3.0 1.2 0.0 6.0 d 4 173 x 144 km
1 27435U 02025B 02243.44228507 .38418988 10671+1 11419-2 0 91660
2 27435 143.4464 98.2136 0022199 196.7259 163.2006 16.42869482 14711
Ofeq5 Shavit r 3.0 1.2 0.0 6.0 d 4 149 x 130 km
1 27435U 02025B 02243.50294280 1.00445083 17510+2 97783-3 0 91663
2 27435 143.4446 98.6613 0014181 197.3463 162.6052 16.49987463 14723
Note: My current estimate is for this to decay while northbound over
Peru near the end of the final predicted rev above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Aug 30 2002 - 13:58:20 EDT