Apologies for the typo in my previous message that predicted the
Progress rocket's decay on "Apr 31" rather than "Aug 31". As Harro has
posted, it appears that this re-entry was seen from Turkey this morning.
I have updated my Decay Watch page with the final notice for this (SCC's
update and its later elsets were very slow to appear on OIG's site) and
with the first notice for #25641, the ArabSat 3A Ariane Spelda (or
SPELDA). In summary:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25641 = 99- 9 D = ArabSat 3A Ariane Spelda
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Aug 31 01:48 Sep 4 00:08 +-2d 2.3 N 121.6 W
SatEvo Aug 31 18:40 Sep 4 09:16 +-1.2
Latest elset:
ArabSat 3A Ariane Spelda 822 x 163 km
1 25641U 99009D 03243.61856671 .06907221 -28283-4 38038-2 0 8603
2 25641 6.6459 229.6636 0479679 296.5095 58.6795 15.24372847 83354
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #27874 = 03- 39 B = Progress M-48 Soyuz rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Aug 31 02:43 Aug 31 02:14 +-7m 37.0 N 26.0 E
SatEvo Aug 31 18:20 Aug 31 02:06 +-15m 10.6 N 0.6 E
Final elset:
Progress M-48 Soyuz r 146 x 134 km
1 27874U 03039B 03243.02502746 .14876859 12754-4 16067-3 0 143
2 27874 51.6545 2.8876 0009533 59.9620 300.6975 16.49837691 338
Note: My estimate is for this to have decayed following the end of
the rev given by the above orbit, possibly northbound close to Nigeria.
However, Harro Zimmer has posted a report on SeeSat-L that suggests
that the re-entry was observed by Firat Barlas from Uludag-Bursa,
Turkey, at 02:14 UTC.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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