Progress M-30 rocket decay prediction, C2326 elset

Mike McCants (mike@comshare.com)
Wed, 20 Dec 1995 17:30:27 -0600

Here are elsets for the Progress M-30 rocket from OIG:

1 23745U 95070B   95353.57945729  .02302280  12143-4  48611-3 0    70
2 23745  51.6434 309.1742 0008337  58.2969 301.9503 16.29992616   161

1 23745U 95070B   95353.88580962  .02715341  12189-4  48574-3 0    83
2 23745  51.6456 307.4697 0009127  68.2505 291.9490 16.31669524   211

1 23745U 95070B   95354.25298897  .03389734  12254-4  47249-3 0    94
2 23745  51.6425 305.4138 0006006  72.2944 287.9600 16.34199476   271

1 23745U 95070B   95354.55847351  .04653489  12325-4  49216-3 0   112
2 23745  51.6409 303.7001 0004619  75.4405 284.6893 16.36771037   323

1 23745U 95070B   95354.55847756  .04207418  12323-4  44557-3 0   120
2 23745  51.6387 303.7010 0004620  76.2429 283.9113 16.36760000   320

I believe that the reentry will occur between 0300UT and 0500UT tonight,
Dec 21.  Here is a path over Canada and the eastern US:

 95 Dec 21   Wed evening/ Thu morning

 NCAT 23745 Progress M 30 Rk   

 Hr Mn    Lat  Long (- means west)
  4 24   51.6 -117.1
  4 25   50.9 -110.9
  4 26   50.0 -104.9
  4 27   48.7  -99.1
  4 28   47.1  -93.7
  4 29   45.2  -88.7
  4 30   43.1  -84.0
  4 31   40.8  -79.7
  4 32   38.4  -75.6
  4 33   35.8  -71.9
  4 34   33.0  -68.4

------------

Here is the latest elset for Cosmos 2326:

1 23748U 95071A   95354.60793025  .00000319  00000-0  10000-4 0    49
2 23748  65.0188 134.2152 0005986 234.4954 125.5695 15.52035912    96

Mike McCants
mike@comshare.com