Decay of FSW-2 (#24634 = 96- 59 A)

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 1 Dec 1996 18:32:22 +0000

The Chinese FSW-2 satellite, approaching decay, was observed at mag 1.4-
1.9 by Russell Eberst from Edinburgh this evening (Dec 1 16.52UT).

The latest OIG elset for this is:
FSW-2                                            194 x 157
1 24634U 96059A   96336.57007170  .02641208  86193-5  24441-3 0  1481
2 24634  63.0252 278.6925 0028308 136.2781 224.0764 16.36465529  6825

A SatEvo evolution satisfies the latest seven elsets (since Nov 30.83)
to better than 0.2 seconds and predicts decay at about December 3.1.

SatEvo predicted elsets:

FSW-2                                            189 x 155
1 24634U 96059A   96336.81437796  .02896808  58771-2  21567-3 0 91480
2 24634  63.0248 277.6877 0025962 136.3100 223.8954 16.37758562  6869
FSW-2                                            181 x 152
1 24634U 96059A   96337.11948597  .03582133  94908-2  19246-3 0 91487
2 24634  63.0242 276.4299 0022694 136.3499 223.8291 16.39718360  6912
FSW-2                                            172 x 148
1 24634U 96059A   96337.42418256  .04773938  18066-1  17021-3 0 91480
2 24634  63.0233 275.1698 0018875 136.3900 223.7591 16.42226051  6966
FSW-2                                            160 x 141
1 24634U 96059A   96337.72832600  .07543124  50878-1  15207-3 0 91482
2 24634  63.0222 273.9067 0014063 136.4303 223.6806 16.45825744  7015
FSW-2                                            148 x 135
1 24634U 96059A   96337.91041938  .12576772  17389+0  14955-3 0 91487
2 24634  63.0210 273.1466 0010143 136.4546 223.6255 16.49312986  7045
FSW-2                                            117 x 114
1 24634U 96059A   96338.09192529  .99705586  28276+2  31604-3 0 91481
2 24634  63.0182 272.3832 0002853 136.4791 223.5410 16.59072118  7078

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224