C 2348 Soyuz-U decay update
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 19 Dec 1997 20:55:34 +0000
The decaying Soyuz-U rocket was running 71 seconds ahead of my 2-day-old
"9020" SatEvo prediction at the epoch of the latest elset from OIG:
C 2348 Soyuz-U r 245 x 148 km
1 25096U 97080B 97353.60408252 .04390297 60229-5 30782-3 0 318
2 25096 67.1442 292.5604 0073753 92.5781 268.3773 16.28723574 644
My current prediction is for decay at about December 20.66
= 16h UTC +-4 hours.
Predicted elsets to decay from my "9031" evolution:
C 2348 Soyuz-U r 231 x 146 km
1 25096U 97080B 97353.84947082 .06005198 16308-1 34662-3 0 90313
2 25096 67.1433 291.7047 0064796 92.3075 268.4345 16.31520362 681
C 2348 Soyuz-U r 220 x 145 km
1 25096U 97080B 97354.03323693 .07169811 27652-1 34810-3 0 90314
2 25096 67.1426 291.0616 0057177 92.1042 268.5506 16.33920876 715
C 2348 Soyuz-U r 206 x 142 km
1 25096U 97080B 97354.21670195 .09259458 52144-1 35177-3 0 90316
2 25096 67.1415 290.4170 0048387 91.9005 268.6538 16.36896023 748
C 2348 Soyuz-U r 188 x 139 km
1 25096U 97080B 97354.39977585 .13703684 12429+0 35260-3 0 90311
2 25096 67.1402 289.7706 0037621 91.6962 268.7347 16.40981226 775
C 2348 Soyuz-U r 159 x 130 km
1 25096U 97080B 97354.58225201 .30745184 76086+0 35953-3 0 90311
2 25096 67.1380 289.1214 0022191 91.4912 268.7630 16.48153228 807
C 2348 Soyuz-U r 139 x 122 km
1 25096U 97080B 97354.64283688 .64875594 38035+1 40913-3 0 90312
2 25096 67.1367 288.9039 0013635 91.4226 268.7336 16.53374091 818
I hope to post at least one further update before re-entry.
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/