Decay watch: 2000 Dec 9

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sat Dec 09 2000 - 03:35:52 PST

  • Next message: Ted Molczan: "DMSP B5D2-8 (95015A) elements on 2000 Dec 09"

    SpaceCom has added #24743, the Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P rocket, to the
    objects for which decay warnings are being posted. See ny Decay watch
    page for more on the following, including predicted elsets.
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #24743 = 97-  9 B = Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Dec  9 00:55     Dec 11 19:24 +-2d         3.2 N    77.6 W
    SatEvo     Dec  9 11:15     Dec 12 07:00 +-19h
    
    Latest elset:
    Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P r                        1077 x 132 km
    1 24743U 97009B   00344.26815967  .12464490 -26388-4  11363-2 0  7581
    2 24743   6.4043 282.2816 0676009 287.6777  65.0717 14.87913790 59942
    
    Note: This enters eclipse near northern apex at 6 deg N at ~19.45
    local time and leaves eclipse while southbound near 4 deg S at
    ~04:15 local time.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25124 = 97- 85 B = Early Bird Start-1 r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Dec  8 15:53     Dec 12 14:03 +-2d        42.0 S    46.4 W
    SatEvo     Dec  9 11:10     Dec 12 07:23 +-16h
    
    Latest elset:
    Early Bird r     3.0  0.0  0.0  6.0 d  2.8       215 x 209 km
    1 25124U 97085B   00344.41916874  .01546711  23149-5  66666-3 0  8063
    2 25124  97.1682  67.8064 0004585 235.5265 124.5601 16.22709081166581
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 8 sec early against the 
    prediction I posted two days ago.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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