Decay watch: 2000 Dec 10

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Sun Dec 10 2000 - 09:05:08 PST

  • Next message: Alan Pickup: "SatEvo decay list #109"

    Now SpaceCom is posting decay notices for three objects. See my Decay
    Watch page for more, including SatEvo-predicted elsets.
    
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #24743 = 97-  9 B = Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Dec 10 02:32     Dec 12 01:23 +-1d         3.0 S   132.4 E
    SatEvo     Dec 10 16:35     Dec 12 11:21 +-11h
    
    Latest elset:
    Intelsat 801 Ariane 44P r                        841 x 128 km
    1 24743U 97009B   00345.65867800  .15289056 -28557-4  88281-3 0  7713
    2 24743   6.4028 271.8682 0519903 308.3014  47.1237 15.27111267 60151
    
    Note: The latest elset shows it running 86 sec late on yesterday's
    prediction.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25124 = 97- 85 B = Early Bird Start-1 r
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Dec  9 17:10     Dec 12 16:53 +-2d        16.7 S    84.7 W
    SatEvo     Dec 10 16:45     Dec 12 09:01 +-12h
    
    Latest elset:
    Early Bird r     3.0  0.0  0.0  6.0 d  2.8       206 x 198 km
    1 25124U 97085B   00345.28155874  .02180051  23300-5  69103-3 0  8154
    2 25124  97.1677  68.7668 0005993 260.3683  99.6962 16.26392128166721
    
    Note: The latest elset shows this running 3 sec late against the 
    prediction I posted two days ago.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #25422 = 98- 46 K = Orbcomm 17 Pegasus r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                   UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SpaceCom   Dec 10 09:30     Dec 14 09:10 +-2d         2.8 N    40.8 W
    SatEvo     Dec 10 16:55     Dec 14 01:01 +-22h
    
    Latest elset:
    Orbcm Pegasus r2                                 247 x 224 km
    1 25422U 98046K   00345.32198000  .01568752  19206-2  12153-2 0  7511
    2 25422  42.5502 202.5302 0017546   7.4952 352.6196 16.14028432130792
    
    Note: This enters eclipse while southbound near 17 deg N at ~18:10
    local time. Eclipse exit occurs just after southern apex near 42 deg 
    S at 02:30 local time.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W      156m asl
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
             *
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sun Dec 10 2000 - 09:06:42 PST