A summary of my updated Decay Watch page...
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #4392 = 70- 34 B = Mao 1 Long March 1 rocket
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 29 10:30 Dec 29 05:44 +-1h 3.7 N 3.5 W
SatEvo Dec 29 18:45 Dec 29 05:36 +-45m 3.5 S 6.0 W
Final elset:
Mao 1 r 4.0 2.0 0.0 6.2 d 5.2 156 x 147 km
1 04392U 70034B 00364.13993056 .21206003 55916-5 54314-3 0 4913
2 04392 68.2857 177.7159 0006876 124.1262 36.8654 16.45462359521430
Note: The final elset shows this running 23 sec late against
yesterday's SatEvo prediction. i put the decay northbound over
the Atlantic, SW of the Gulf of Guinea on a track that would carry
it between Abidjan , Cote d'Ivoire, and Accra, Ghana, at 05:38 UTC.
My predicted elset for the start of the final rev:
Mao 1 r 4.0 2.0 0.0 6.2 d 5.2 144 x 137 km
1 04392U 70034B 00364.17347922 .54100917 28179+1 66331-3 0 94912
2 04392 68.2837 177.6016 0005700 124.0775 235.9766 16.49609632521440
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #4584 = 70- 85 B = Meteor 1-6 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 29 06:34 Jan 1 05:45 +-2d 19.6 S 166.1 E
SatEvo Dec 29 19:00 Jan 1 03:36 +-14h
Latest elset:
Meteor 1-6 r 3.8 2.6 0.0 5.1 v 11 206 x 197 km
1 04584U 70085B 00364.54934463 .02084556 -95620-6 64658-3 0 4606
2 04584 81.1580 359.4624 0007013 120.1596 240.0387 16.26603262654210
SatEvo prediction: see Decay watch page.
Note: The latest elset shows this running 1 sec early against the
prediction I posted yesterday.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #25529 = 98- 66 C = Iridium 85
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Dec 29 18:50 Dec 30 17:59 +-14h 19.3 S 120.6 W
SatEvo Dec 29 19:10 Dec 30 17:18 +-6h 10.9 S 70.6 E
Latest elset:
Iridium 85 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.0 d 9.3 206 x 197 km
1 25529U 98066C 00364.70940483 .05231075 -14104-5 16000-2 0 8559
2 25529 85.9785 249.4506 0006935 168.1217 192.0419 16.26824057119936
SatEvo prediction:
..(ends)
Iridium 85 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.0 d 9.3 150 x 146 km
1 25529U 98066C 00365.62809049 .34012541 92450+0 76889-3 0 98554
2 25529 85.9718 248.8688 0003103 164.0787 195.9310 16.46621973120081
Iridium 85 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.0 d 9.3 133 x 131 km
1 25529U 98066C 00365.68876966 .82271725 56993+1 66626-3 0 98557
2 25529 85.9702 248.8295 0002072 163.8058 196.2008 16.52768014120094
Note: The latest elset has this 21 sec late against the prediction
I posted yesterday. I estimate that this will decay southbound over
the Indian Ocean, possibly near Diego Garcia.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Dec 29 2000 - 15:43:22 PST