TsUP published the delta-v maneuver data: http://www.mcc.rsa.ru/sojuztma_19m/start.htm So, this is the revised estimation: Hello all; The Soyuz TMA-19M spacecraft is expected to take off tomorrow 2015/12/15 at 11:03:09 UTC from Tyura-Tam Gagarin's pad. It will fly with the Soyuz-FG rocket and they will try the fast 4-orbits renzezvous. Docking is aimed to be at 17:24:09 UTC +- 3 minutes. This TLE is the initial orbit estimation, just after spacecraft release after SC separation from rocket, about nine minutes after launch: SOYUZ-TMA 19M #0 198 X 214 km 1 70000U 15500A 15349.46667824 0.00000000 00000-0 00000+0 0 05 2 70000 51.6440 259.2934 0011851 54.4267 28.0135 16.25069103 09 Epoch is set at spacecraft separation & orbit enter time. At 11:48:15 UTC is expected to occur the fisrt maneuver. This orbit is valid from first maneuver till the second one, at 12:32:29 UTC: SOYUZ-TMA 19M #1 214 X 295 km 1 70001U 15501A 15349.49306713 0.00000000 00000-0 00000+0 0 07 2 70001 51.6439 259.1479 0061649 228.9167 7.9357 16.07220174 07 At 12:32:29 UTC the second maneuver will be made. This elset is valid from this time till ~13:06 UTC: SOYUZ-TMA 19M #2 294 X 296 km 1 70002U 15502A 15349.52362269 0.00000000 00000-0 00000+0 0 01 2 70002 51.6439 258.9836 0001643 293.3363 120.3768 15.92638602 02 There are no more data on TsUP's page about the burns. Hoewer, this third elset could be reasonably close since 13:06 UTC till near-docking times: SOYUZ-TMA 19M #3 295 X 375 km 1 70003U 15503A 15349.54670139 0.00000000 00000-0 00000+0 0 03 2 70003 51.6441 258.8618 0059201 185.5872 0.5206 15.78391758 01 Time uncertainty is expected to be about a minute since launch till docking and several degrees on track error on high elevation skies. Soyuz-FG's third stage should re-enter in the next few days. There are good passes over Europe about 1-2 hours before docking. Also, there are good visual passes over Asia in the first two revolutions, specially over Baikonur. If clouded, Marco Langbroek informed on Twitter about the frequencies of the Soyuz, that they are activated on Netherlands because the spacecraft enters in range of russian tracking stations: https://twitter.com/Marco_Langbroek/status/675378691015340032 https://twitter.com/Marco_Langbroek/status/675378849149005826 Be good! Jon. -- Jon, COSPAR 6242, 42.9453, -2.82839, 623m, Bitoriano, Basque Country. _______________________________________________ Seesat-l mailing list http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-lReceived on Mon Dec 14 2015 - 17:00:18 UTC
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