Decay watch: Molniya 3-16
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Wed, 4 Feb 1998 20:39:08 +0000
Congratulations to Mike McCants for spotting this.
The most recent elset from OIG is:
Molniya 3-16 8988 x 93 km
1 12512U 81054A 98035.53645476 .44624719 48865-5 25863-2 0 770
2 12512 62.1360 87.7537 4073330 273.0448 43.3793 7.61024084123935
Using SatEvo to generate an evolution through elsets over the past day
gives me this alternative for the above rev:
Molniya 3-16 8968 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98035.53608857 .56719965 60140-1 21164-2 0 90778
2 12512 62.1360 87.7541 4073500 273.0448 42.3762 7.62494463123937
I now predict decay for February 7.4 +-0.5 day.
Continuing the evolution for the next few hours:
Molniya 3-16 8685 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98035.66624334 .59144364 55373-1 21346-2 0 90772
2 12512 62.1360 87.6187 3995623 273.0582 43.1560 7.77572733123948
Molniya 3-16 8406 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98035.79387794 .61350494 60026-1 21412-2 0 90773
2 12512 62.1360 87.4818 3916730 273.0717 43.9494 7.92948030123958
Molniya 3-16 8131 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98035.91904450 .63710678 65790-1 21503-2 0 90771
2 12512 62.1359 87.3433 3836954 273.0853 44.7551 8.08597155123968
Molniya 3-16 7860 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98036.04179423 .66242345 71911-1 21617-2 0 90772
2 12512 62.1359 87.2031 3756187 273.0991 45.5740 8.24544132123978
Molniya 3-16 7592 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98036.16217435 .68965521 78963-1 21756-2 0 90779
2 12512 62.1359 87.0614 3674313 273.1131 46.4075 8.40815326123986
Molniya 3-16 7327 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98036.28022817 .71903579 87149-1 21923-2 0 90771
2 12512 62.1359 86.9178 3591204 273.1273 47.2568 8.57439834123994
Molniya 3-16 7064 x 84 km
1 12512U 81054A 98036.39599523 .75083476 96731-1 22115-2 0 90776
2 12512 62.1358 86.7725 3506725 273.1416 48.1238 8.74449944124001
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144
Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/