Re: Decay watch: C 2349 Soyuz rocket

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 20 Feb 1998 22:44:31 +0000

The most recent elset from OIG ...
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   188 x 158 km
1 25168U 98009B   98051.82197549  .05326359  41267-5  50765-3 0   193
2 25168  70.4025 339.0929 0022282  67.4827 292.8690 16.37324898   554
... shows it to be running 17 seconds late on the "9016" prediction I
posted earlier.

My latest calculation suggests decay at about February 21.38 (~09h UTC
+-2h) and yields the following prediction:
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   184 x 156 km
1 25168U 98009B   98051.88302182  .08111131  46437-1  60544-3 0 90198
2 25168  70.4022 338.9071 0021036  67.3614 292.8609 16.38543211   560
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   180 x 154 km
1 25168U 98009B   98051.94405070  .09057467  59104-1  55622-3 0 90193
2 25168  70.4018 338.7209 0019712  67.2401 292.9681 16.39588659   575
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   176 x 152 km
1 25168U 98009B   98052.00503823  .10199264  69325-1  50578-3 0 90191
2 25168  70.4015 338.5347 0018293  67.1186 293.0744 16.40761599   586
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   171 x 149 km
1 25168U 98009B   98052.06597924  .11665682  94173-1  45728-3 0 90195
2 25168  70.4010 338.3482 0016756  66.9970 293.1796 16.42089410   595
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   166 x 146 km
1 25168U 98009B   98052.12686707  .13729622  13646+0  41343-3 0 90190
2 25168  70.4005 338.1615 0015064  66.8753 293.2834 16.43627709   600
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   160 x 143 km
1 25168U 98009B   98052.18769228  .16887542  21838+0  37484-3 0 90198
2 25168  70.3999 337.9746 0013158  66.7534 293.3851 16.45474543   610
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   152 x 138 km
1 25168U 98009B   98052.24844029  .22441678  41539+0  34368-3 0 90199
2 25168  70.3992 337.7873 0010929  66.6314 293.4836 16.47826556   622
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   142 x 131 km
1 25168U 98009B   98052.30908455  .35441279  11548+1  32900-3 0 90199
2 25168  70.3982 337.5996 0008112  66.5090 293.5762 16.51198616   630
C 2349 Soyuz r                                   119 x 115 km
1 25168U 98009B   98052.36955226 1.31822287  17995+2  46036-3 0 90190
2 25168  70.3966 337.4112 0003487  66.3863 293.6503 16.58585573   641

Alan
-- 
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