From the latest update to my Decay Watch page: _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #18083 = 87- 48 A = Cosmos 1849 Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SCC Jan 31 08:59 Feb 2 09:06 +-1d 60.6 S 148.5 W SatEvo Feb 2 15:30 Feb 3 21:05 +-11h 46.6 S 10.7 W Latest elset: Cosmos 1849 3634 x 83 km 1 18083U 87048A 03033.46034043 .91261947 -12823-4 14972-2 0 165 2 18083 61.9907 228.7771 2155450 211.3907 137.2436 11.61403031115332 SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page. (ends) Cosmos 1849 1020 x 79 km 1 18083U 87048A 03034.77078553 2.89666087 33707+1 17251-2 0 90146 2 18083 61.8394 225.3491 0679440 211.6091 144.1268 15.05657338115500 Cosmos 1849 758 x 77 km 1 18083U 87048A 03034.83649939 3.94795864 88540+1 18320-2 0 90141 2 18083 61.8216 225.1084 0500981 211.6383 145.2515 15.49598725115516 Cosmos 1849 366 x 75 km 1 18083U 87048A 03034.90009434 9.16429377 50000+2 23152-2 0 90142 2 18083 61.8030 224.8567 0220895 211.6691 146.9830 16.19672858115524 Note: In my judgement, the drag is so severe that this is unlikely to survive into the final predicted rev, above. Instead, I estimate that it will decay near perigee on the previous orbit, southbound over the S Atlantic. The prediction remains uncertain. _____________________________________________________________________ Object: #27614 = 02- 59 B = Cosmos 2393 r1 Decay predictions: Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude UTC UTC deg deg SCC Feb 2 07:54 Feb 3 08:18 +-15h 57.9 S 49.0 E SatEvo Feb 2 15:40 Feb 3 08:00 +-5h 13.2 S 4.4 E Latest elset: Cosmos 2393 r1 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 d 8 217 x 163 km 1 27614U 02059B 03033.56845073 .05850853 86278-5 86785-3 0 1116 2 27614 62.7923 73.8291 0041048 108.6935 251.8712 16.31066642 6355 SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page. (ends) Cosmos 2393 r1 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 d 8 156 x 133 km 1 27614U 02059B 03034.24013961 .34868358 12119+1 45788-3 0 91111 2 27614 62.7869 71.0428 0017519 108.8318 251.3583 16.47906949 6462 Cosmos 2393 r1 4.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 d 8 133 x 120 km 1 27614U 02059B 03034.30070263 1.22151602 29458+2 64318-3 0 91116 2 27614 62.7850 70.7867 0009575 108.8446 251.2593 16.54874271 6471 Note: I have this decaying southbound off the coast of Angola on the last of my SatEvo-predicted orbits. _____________________________________________________________________ Alan -- Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum) Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ * ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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