SatEvo decay list #22 (issued 1997 January 5) Here is another batch of SatEvo decay predictions. The "Actual?" decay dates are estimates based on the final available elements. With few exceptions, decay dates have slipped since my previous list. # Designation Name ------- Decay ------- Predicted Actual? 23891 86- 17 KK Mir deb December 27.3 24045 94- 29 CS STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 28.0 24595 94- 29 YX STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 28 24026 94- 29 BX STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 30 24539 94- 29 WP STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 1 23969 94- 29 P STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 2 24570 94- 29 XW STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 2 24591 94- 29 YT STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 2 24170 94- 29 HV STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 5 24356 94- 29 PH STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 5? Note 1 24484 94- 29 UH STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 5 12915 81-105 A Molniya 3-17 January 8? Note 2 24241 94- 29 LQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 9 24257 94- 29 MG STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 9 24516 94- 29 VQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 9 24411 94- 29 RQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 11 24415 94- 29 RU STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 11 24508 94- 29 VG STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 11 24326 94- 29 NB STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 13 24641 96- 60 B Molniya-3 r January 13 23918 86- 17 LE Mir deb January 14 24452 94- 29 SU STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 14 24469 94- 29 TS STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 14 24519 94- 29 VT STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 14 24569 94- 29 XV STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 14 24021 94- 29 BS STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 18 23852 96- 24 B MSX Delta r January 26 24370 94- 29 PX STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 27 24050 94- 29 CX STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 29 24333 94- 29 NJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 29 24578 94- 29 YE STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 1 23695 86- 17 JS Mir deb February 2 24673 96- 17 MA Mir deb February 3 24681 96- 72 B USA 129 Titan 4 r February 3 24061 94- 29 DJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 5 24702 96- 73 B Bion 11 SL-4 r February 5 23992 94- 29 AN STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 9 24592 94- 29 YU STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 11 23023 94- 14 E SL-14 deb February 15 24616 94- 29 ZU STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 15 23990 94- 29 AL STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 17 24483 94- 29 UG STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 17 24619 94- 29 ZX STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 20 7089 73- 86 CH Delta 1 deb February 21 24053 94- 29 DA STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 23 23923 86- 17 LK Mir deb March 3 24659 86- 17 LX Mir deb March 7 24657 86- 17 LY Mir deb March 9 23925 86- 17 LM Mir deb March 13 24010 94- 29 BF STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 14 1686 65- 82 AZ OV2-1/LCS 2 deb March 17 23917 86- 17 LD Mir deb March 20 23825 86- 17 JY Mir deb March 23 22754 89- 89 P COBE deb April Notes. 1. No recent elsets. 2. The decay prediction for #12915 = 81-105 A (Molniya 3-17) is extremely uncertain - indeed, it may already be down. The object has/had a perigee height of only 72 km according to the latest OIG elset (below) and is/was probably self-luminous at perigee. Molniya 3-17 25862 x 72 km 1 12915U 81105A 97003.17772001 .08797580 -19122-5 66280-3 0 5870 2 12915 62.3256 54.0458 6665531 266.8747 71.1546 3.22684464 70574 Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224