Re: Moliya decay (Was:SatEvo decay list #22)

Bjoern Gimle (b_gimle@algonet.se)
Mon, 6 Jan 1997 18:21:10 +0100 (MET)

>
>SatEvo decay list #22  (issued 1997 January 5)
>
> 12915   81-105 A   Molniya 3-17          January  8? Note 2
>
>2. The decay prediction for #12915 = 81-105 A (Molniya 3-17) is
>extremely uncertain - indeed, it may already be down. The object 
>has/had a perigee height of only 72 km according to the latest 
>OIG elset (below) and is/was probably self-luminous at perigee.
>Molniya 3-17                                     25862 x 72 km
>1 12915U 81105A   97003.17772001  .08797580 -19122-5  66280-3 0  5870
>2 12915  62.3256  54.0458 6665531 266.8747  71.1546  3.22684464 70574
>
>Alan

Here are a few later elsets. Ndot2 values are much too low:

Now searching the database for the following numbers:
12915

SATNO = 12915
Element set number = 1
1 12915U 81105A   97003.17772001  .08797580 -19122-5  66280-3 0  5870
2 12915  62.3256  54.0458 6665531 266.8747  71.1546  3.22684464 70574
Element set number = 2
1 12915U 81105A   97004.10351143  .02453918  31755-5  10000-3 0  5922
2 12915  62.3135  52.2384 4502538 267.0424  42.4355  6.81504010 70607
Element set number = 3
1 12915U 81105A   97004.11377610 -.00000512  32348-5  00000+0 0  5910
2 12915  62.3090  52.2330 4504362 266.9400  67.7170  6.82320910 70608
Element set number = 4
1 12915U 81105A   96359.58653293 +.02664421 +22841-4 +66876-3 0 05804
2 12915 062.3135 056.6508 7161439 266.6877 017.0400 02.52659526070329
Element set number = 5
1 12915U 81105A   97003.44291030  .04301200 -19459-5  66280-3 0  5899
2 12915  62.3256  53.9623 6626756 266.8816  21.4453  3.27396854 70583


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