Decay update: Molniya 3-48 r

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Fri, 10 Jan 1997 23:15:30 +0000

The latest OIG elset
Molniya-3 r      7.5  2.6  0.0  5.3 d            215 x 168 km
1 24641U 96060B   97010.70368794  .04640850  86053-5  79628-3 0  1697
2 24641  62.7850 217.3382 0036048 122.8413 237.6167 16.30329990 12394
shows this running 4.5 seconds early against the SatEvo predictions I
posted yesterday, though it had been 1.9 sec late earlier in the day.

My latest analysis points to decay at about January 12.02 but this is
still uncertain by one or two orbits. Predicted elsets:
Molniya 3-48 r   7.5  2.6  0.0  5.3 d            208 x 165 km
1 24641U 96060B   97011.01019959  .04265695  10810-1  61699-3 0 91634
2 24641  62.7825 216.0757 0032819 129.3344 230.9561 16.32282366 12442
Molniya 3-48 r   7.5  2.6  0.0  5.3 d            199 x 162 km
1 24641U 96060B   97011.25507245  .05287658  18027-1  62231-3 0 91635
2 24641  62.7818 215.0655 0028586 129.3851 230.8683 16.34600898 12483
Molniya 3-48 r   7.5  2.6  0.0  5.3 d            188 x 157 km
1 24641U 96060B   97011.49955216  .07139121  35629-1  61334-3 0 91639
2 24641  62.7808 214.0532 0023614 129.4361 230.7728 16.37586888 12528
Molniya 3-48 r   7.5  2.6  0.0  5.3 d            172 x 149 km
1 24641U 96060B   97011.74349556  .11650138  11063+0  46014-3 0 91634
2 24641  62.7794 213.0378 0017283 129.4872 230.6646 16.41973859 12566
Molniya 3-48 r   7.5  2.6  0.0  5.3 d            137 x 128 km
1 24641U 96060B   97011.98648671  .56123758  42275+1  41984-3 0 91633
2 24641  62.7762 212.0171 0006371 129.5388 230.5175 16.52580655 12601

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:  55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W  156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:    alan@wingar.demon.co.uk      +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | Royal Observatory: A.Pickup@roe.ac.uk +44 (0)131 668 8224