The latest elset for the decaying Long March rocket is Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 276 x 154 km 1 25079U 97077C 98017.75197111 .02488172 -12859-5 33129-3 0 1132 2 25079 86.2731 100.1118 0092867 7.9236 352.3518 16.21648597 6364 This shows it 10 seconds early against yesterday's "9107" SatEvo orbit evolution. My prediction for its decay now stands at January 20.4 +-0.4 day. Predicted elsets from my "9113" evolution: Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 268 x 153 km 1 25079U 97077C 98018.06034225 .02786825 21442-2 33594-3 0 91138 2 25079 86.2725 99.9338 0087202 6.5836 353.5304 16.23323884 6417 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 254 x 152 km 1 25079U 97077C 98018.55308435 .03182462 39182-2 32178-3 0 91134 2 25079 86.2714 99.6484 0077294 4.4356 355.6326 16.26243387 6495 Iridm CZ-2C r 10.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 d 237 x 150 km 1 25079U 97077C 98019.04487114 .03939500 67922-2 31515-3 0 91131 2 25079 86.2702 99.3623 0065937 2.2820 357.7479 16.29711765 6571 I note that NASA GSFC's latest 60 day decay forecast (issued on the 15th and "effective" on the 14th) has this decaying as early as the 15th. As a postscript, one further and (I assume) final elset did indeed appear for the NEAR Delta 2 decayer: NEAR r 5.4 2.9 0.0 5.5 d 191 x 120 km 1 23785U 96008B 98017.59347618 .13165387 00000-0 13130-3 0 5302 2 23785 25.8883 112.8584 0055033 43.7364 316.8037 16.43903629 78470 Both the drag and mean motion terms appear too low, but the implied equator crossing is but 2.1 seconds late on my final prediction. My estimate of re-entry near the following northbound crossing at 15:41 UTC still stands. The current 60-day forecast was for decay on the 16th. Oh, and yes, apologies for titling the posting of today's SatEvo decay list #46 as "#26" instead. Just seeing how many of you are awake... ;-) Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Home: alan@wingar.demon.co.uk +44 (0)131 477 9144 Scotland | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/