From my updated Decay Watch page:
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #11932 = 80- 69 A = Cosmos 1206
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 14 19:15 UTC
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 13 19:59 Jan 13 19:38 +-7m 69.0 S 107.0 E
SatEvo Jan 14 19:15 Jan 13 19:21 +-15m 32.1 S 33.3 W
Final elset:
Cosmos 1206 5.0 1.5 0.0 5.4 v 16 128 x 117 km
1 11932U 80069A 02013.78924492 .37248599 -13537-5 17338-3 0 5768
2 11932 81.1303 184.4843 0008650 316.8752 153.7629 16.56422408174910
Note: The penultimate elset showed this running 3.2 sec late against
the prediction I posted yesterday. I put the decay over the SW Atlantic,
following the southbound equator crossing on the orbit given by the
final posted elset.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #13432 = 82- 83 A = Molniya 3-19
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 14 19:30 UTC
Final decay analyses:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 13 21:34 Jan 13 20:42 +-35m 44.2 S 101.4 W
SatEvo Jan 14 19:30 Jan 13 20:41 +-10m 39.9 S 97.2 W
Final elset:
Molniya 3-19 512 x 77 km
1 13432U 82083A 02013.80699161 .99999999 95136-5 13862-2 0 6989
2 13432 62.2412 352.3312 0325462 284.4340 72.3717 15.92788755 69906
Note: I show this decaying northbound over the SE Pacific on a track
that would have carried it a little to the N of Lima, Peru, at 20:49
UTC.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #14319 = 83- 90 D = Molniya 3-21 r2
Notice prepared: 2002 Jan 14 19:40 UTC
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 13 16:44 Jan 15 15:07 +-1d 48.9 N 112.9 E
SatEvo Jan 14 19:40 Jan 16 07:29 +-13h
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-21 r2 1084 x 92 km
1 14319U 83090D 02014.57724487 .23417150 72672-5 29018-3 0 4911
2 14319 62.0405 314.8968 0712226 285.9172 67.2476 14.93159599138784
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
Note: SatEvo continues to give a much later decay than does SpaceCom.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Jan 14 2002 - 15:06:47 EST