Here is a summary of the updated notices on my Decay Watch page. One new
addition at the end - #26872 = GOES 12 Atlas 2a rocket. See the page for
my predicted elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #21987 = 92- 31 A = EUVE
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom (none posted yet)
SatEvo Jan 25 14:20 Feb 1 05:36 +-2.5d
Latest elset:
EUVE 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 19 241 x 237 km
1 21987U 92031A 02024.83560203 .00981645 56148-3 80866-3 0 7569
2 21987 28.4254 196.1539 0002749 12.3888 347.6852 16.12889999537989
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #22013 = 92- 38 B = Sampex Scout rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 25 07:27 Jan 28 06:58 +-2d 28.4 S 5.2 E
SatEvo Jan 25 14:00 Jan 28 03:44 +-20h
Latest elset:
Sampex r 3.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 d 0.89 249 x 234 km
1 22013U 92038B 02025.25310884 .02185396 50364-2 22281-2 0 420
2 22013 81.6106 55.1693 0011753 149.9425 332.4955 16.11995284524055
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #24947 = 97- 51 D = Iridium 27 tum
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom (none posted yet)
SatEvo Jan 25 14:25 Feb 1 19:57 +-2.5d
Latest elset:
Iridium 27 tum 4.0 1.8 0.0 6.5 d 7.6 273 x 273 km
1 24947U 97051D 02025.33035459 .00927647 41664-3 18011-2 0 1746
2 24947 86.5868 70.5532 0000204 35.6838 324.4449 16.00428971241870
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26625 = 00- 76 B = Anik F1 Ariane 44L rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 25 03:08 Jan 25 05:37 +-3h 3.5 N 168.3 W
SatEvo Jan 24 13:50 Jan 25 05:39 +-4h 1.7 N 151.4 W
Latest (final?) elset:
Anik F1 Ariane 44L r 573 x 108 km
1 26625U 00076B 02025.14586410 .99999999 -32425-4 21218-2 0 6235
2 26625 6.2628 254.4046 0345676 135.5988 228.4073 15.76470076 14646
Note: The latest, and possibly final elset, shows this running 73
seconds early against my final prediction. I estimate that this
re-entered over the central Pacific after perigee on the following
orbit. A predicted elset for that rev is:
Anik F1 Ariane 44L r 356 x 98 km
1 26625U 00076B 02025.20784409 4.02217002 25212+2 28994-2 0 96178
2 26625 6.2555 253.5780 0195490 136.3001 225.2641 16.17245378 14650
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26872 = 01- 31 B = GOES 12 Atlas 2a rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jan 25 08:53 Jan 29 07:37 +-2d 14.5 N 99.5 W
SatEvo Jan 25 14:10 Jan 29 12:12 +-1.5d
Latest elset:
GOES 12 Atlas 2a r 5071 x 114 km
1 26872U 01031B 02025.29854362 .29165042 -18421-4 25908-2 0 1031
2 26872 20.2175 116.3154 2762734 4.7441 75.1906 10.21821099 4797
Note: Eclipse entry occurs as this heads northwards near 15 deg S
in the evening sky, It leaves eclipse as it approaches northern
apex at 20 deg N in the morning.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo & elsets: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Fri Jan 25 2002 - 10:15:03 EST