Hi All, I've done a quick and dirty analysis of the upcoming EUVE decay to assess probabilities for the reentry impacting particular locations. For the sake of this analysis, I've assumed a reentry date/time of 1/31 06:00 UTC +/- 12 hours. Here are the probabilities I came up with for a number of locations (some general, some specific): Africa: 11.5% Australia: 3.8% Brazil: 3.4% Saudi Arabia: 1.9% India: 1.8% Mexico: 1.1% Peru: 0.9% Argentina: 0.8% Chile: 0.6 % Texas: 0.5% Venezuela: 0.5% Nicaragua: 0.3% Cuba: 0.3% Bahamas: 0.1% Hawaii: 0.1% Belize: 0.1% One large country I forgot to compute was southern China, which has a probability in the same ballpark as Saudi Arabia. Pakistan, Iran, southernmost Afghanistan, Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines all have non-zero probabilities of impact. However, there is a better than 60% chance that reentry will occur over the Pacific, Atlantic or Indian Ocean. Cheers, Rob ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
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