Decay watch: 2003 January 15

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Jan 15 2003 - 15:20:15 EST

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    A summary of today's update to my Decay Watch page - check there for 
    predicted elsets...
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #19190 = 88- 44 B = Molniya 3-32 r2
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 15 08:06     Jan 19 04:29 +-2d        62.2 S   148.0 E E
    SatEvo     Jan 15 20:10     Jan 19 20:29 +-1.5d
    
    Latest elset:
    Molniya 3-32 r2                                  3343 x 88 km
    1 19190U 88044B   03015.68926817  .23902586  12540-4  47888-3 0  4332
    2 19190  62.1826  72.6617 2010591 266.1878  70.9250 11.92386645106568
    2 19190  62.1391  69.4371 1661920 266.4997  74.4347 12.72001128106732
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #23878 = 96- 33 B = Galaxy 9 rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 15 07:44     Jan 17 05:22 +-1d        19.8 N    26.8 W
    SatEvo     Jan 15 19:45     Jan 17 04:49 +-11h
    
    Latest elset:
    Galaxy 9 r1      5.9  2.4  0.0  5.0 v   12       228 x 190 km
    1 23878U 96033B   03015.62379959  .02510924 -11587-4  79230-3 0  6528
    2 23878  25.7853 134.1490 0028961 243.9892 115.7566 16.23916041348194
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26746 = 01- 15 B = GSAT-1 GSLV rocket
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 14 23:54     Jan 18 00:06 +-2d        15.3 N    72.9 E
    SatEvo     Jan 15 20:00     Jan 18 09:13 +-1.3d
    
    Latest elset:
    GSAT-1 GSLV r                                    2417 x 106 km
    1 26746U 01015B   03015.67815129  .25328715 -38373-4  87650-3 0  9856
    2 26746  18.9989 153.1249 1512786  35.0989 334.0131 13.00185839 23918
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #26929 = 01- 43 A = Starshine 3
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 15 17:31     Jan 21 09:17 +-3d        12.7 S   152.9 E
    SatEvo     Jan 15 20:05     Jan 21 01:57 +-1.7d
    
    Latest elset:
    Starshine 3      0.5  0.0  0.0  9.5 d 0.73       239 x 229 km
    1 26929U 01043A   03015.66585984  .00908991  52946-3  69499-3 0  6785
    2 26929  67.0183  77.0985 0007628 335.0118  25.0580 16.14851910 73449
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27615 = 02- 59 C = Cosmos 2393 platform
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 15 15:36     Jan 15 12:49 +-11m       54.3 N    28.5 W
    SatEvo     Jan 15 19:35     Jan 15 12:50 +-25m       38.1 N     8.2 W
    
    Final elset:
    Cosmos 2393 Pl   3.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d    6       173 x 135 km
    1 27615U 02059C   03015.39060525  .16217436  87741-5  28983-3 0   789
    2 27615  62.8178 143.0896 0029136 110.1875 250.1656 16.44457831  3483
    
    Note: I show this decaying southbound in the vicinity of Lisbon,
    Portugal, on the following predicted orbit:
    Cosmos 2393 Pl   3.0  2.0  0.0  5.5 d    6       141 x 118 km
    1 27615U 02059C   03015.51188847  .65059341  38202+1  36910-3 0 90785
    2 27615  62.8151 142.5789 0017057 110.2118 249.9717 16.53757013  3501
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo & elsets:    http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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