Updates from my Decay Watch page, where you'll also find more predicted
elsets.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #19190 = 88- 44 B = Molniya 3-32 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 15 08:06 Jan 19 04:29 +-2d 62.2 S 148.0 E E
SatEvo Jan 16 19:35 Jan 20 05:26 +-1.2d
Latest elset:
Molniya 3-32 r2 2910 x 87 km
1 19190U 88044B 03016.67647328 .27003929 14169-4 48087-3 0 4393
2 19190 62.1823 70.4104 1791761 266.4733 73.7172 12.41853629106682
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #23878 = 96- 33 B = Galaxy 9 rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 16 09:00 Jan 17 08:03 +-18h 4.3 S 124.9 W
SatEvo Jan 16 19:40 Jan 17 08:35 +-5h 17.2 N 15.5 E
Latest elset:
Galaxy 9 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 12 184 x 183 km
1 23878U 96033B 03016.66550848 .05656184 00000-0 81679-3 0 6616
2 23878 25.7848 125.8015 0000951 313.9074 45.9260 16.33479661348353
SatEvo prediction: See Decay Watch page.
(ends)
Galaxy 9 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 12 144 x 142 km
1 23878U 96033B 03017.27426819 .37378158 12481+1 58336-3 0 96610
2 23878 25.7825 120.8138 0001233 322.3657 37.6257 16.48716292348459
Galaxy 9 r1 5.9 2.4 0.0 5.0 v 12 124 x 123 km
1 23878U 96033B 03017.33466589 1.12590927 10613+2 47965-3 0 96611
2 23878 25.7817 120.3098 0000881 323.2204 36.7736 16.56162287348467
Note: I show this decaying southbound over Niger and Chad, northern
Africa, on the last of these predicted orbits.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26746 = 01- 15 B = GSAT-1 GSLV rocket
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 16 03:02 Jan 18 02:38 +-1d 14.9 N 112.0 E
SatEvo Jan 16 19:50 Jan 18 00:41 +-12h 19.0 N 97.2 E
Latest elsets:
GSAT-1 GSLV r 1900 x 107 km
1 26746U 01015B 03016.57760512 .42245926 -43540-4 13465-2 0 9890
2 26746 19.0058 148.1008 1213898 44.5043 329.1972 13.68967399 24037
GSAT-1 GSLV r 1773 x 180 km
1 26746U 01015B 03016.64939976 .36381593 00000-0 61889-1 0 9907
2 26746 19.1967 148.0644 1083070 37.5725 333.6957 13.76426023 24045
Note: The published elsets are still of poor quality with regard to
perigee height. The predicted elsets and the decay time remain very
uncertain.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26929 = 01- 43 A = Starshine 3
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 15 17:31 Jan 21 09:17 +-3d 12.7 S 152.9 E
SatEvo Jan 16 20:05 Jan 21 12:42 +-1.5d
Latest elset:
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 232 x 222 km
1 26929U 01043A 03016.71797253 .01212793 00000-0 76242-3 0 6858
2 26929 67.0180 73.4972 0007737 331.4368 28.6918 16.17374109 73616
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
*
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jan 16 2003 - 15:39:13 EST