Updates from my Decay Watch page, including my final pre-decay
prediction for Starshine 3.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #19190 = 88- 44 B = Molniya 3-32 r2
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 19 23:38 Jan 19 23:02 +-2h 40.8 S 69.6 W
SatEvo Jan 20 21:15 Jan 19 22:54 +-90m 53.5 S 86.6 W
Final elset:
Molniya 3-32 r2 753 x 78 km
1 19190U 88044B 03019.77546911 .99999999 73164-5 57203-3 0 4631
2 19190 62.1627 61.6214 0497327 268.2218 86.1975 15.50439304107106
Note: I estimate that this decayed following perigee on the first of
these predicted SatEvo revs, to the W of the southern tip of South
America:
Molniya 3-32 r2 476 x 78 km
1 19190U 88044B 03019.90291041 2.45153490 52638+1 88879-3 0 94605
2 19190 62.1499 61.1175 0299109 268.7285 87.8436 15.99085754107122
Molniya 3-32 r2 244 x 74 km
1 19190U 88044B 03019.96505402 5.93657549 50000+2 11043-2 0 94600
2 19190 62.1331 60.8611 0129404 268.7537 89.7634 16.42571941107137
There is a chance that it survived to decay up to one orbit later.
_____________________________________________________________________
Object: #26929 = 01- 43 A = Starshine 3
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SCC Jan 20 17:54 Jan 21 05:35 +-8h 26.2 N 22.8 E
SatEvo Jan 20 21:45 Jan 21 04:04 +-3h 25.6 N 45.2 E
Latest elset:
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 174 x 166 km
1 26929U 01043A 03020.67712757 .06621087 62575-5 60885-3 0 7115
2 26929 67.0106 59.7055 0005930 304.3423 172.9955 16.38467802 74258
SatEvo prediction:
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 166 x 159 km
1 26929U 01043A 03020.84021438 .10380520 85999-1 67347-3 0 97112
2 26929 67.0095 59.1257 0005140 304.1662 55.7850 16.41376034 74284
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 162 x 155 km
1 26929U 01043A 03020.90112586 .12258834 12525+0 59948-3 0 97119
2 26929 67.0090 58.9085 0004778 304.1003 55.8544 16.42747723 74290
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 157 x 151 km
1 26929U 01043A 03020.96198177 .15147081 20194+0 51333-3 0 97110
2 26929 67.0085 58.6910 0004355 304.0342 55.9244 16.44401214 74308
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 151 x 146 km
1 26929U 01043A 03021.02276894 .20274438 39019+0 44780-3 0 97118
2 26929 67.0079 58.4731 0003825 303.9681 55.9955 16.46519251 74318
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 143 x 138 km
1 26929U 01043A 03021.08346331 .32487580 11103+1 41250-3 0 97119
2 26929 67.0070 58.2548 0003092 303.9018 56.0687 16.49588788 74322
Starshine 3 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.5 d 0.73 123 x 121 km
1 26929U 01043A 03021.14399790 1.41325909 24085+2 62012-3 0 97113
2 26929 67.0055 58.0358 0001617 303.8354 56.1492 16.56696769 74338
Note: My prediction is for this to decay southbound over Saudi Arabia
on the last of my predicted orbits, above.
_____________________________________________________________________
Alan
--
Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707: 55.8968N 3.1989W +208m (WGS84 datum)
Edinburgh / SatEvo Home Page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
Scotland / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Mon Jan 20 2003 - 17:12:35 EST