Decay watch: 2003 January 29

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Wed Jan 29 2003 - 14:33:30 EST

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    Two more objects for which decay notices are being posted. Check my 
    Decay watch page for predicted elsets.
    ____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #18083 = 87- 48 A = Cosmos 1849
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 29 06:56     Feb  2 06:19 +-4d        47.5 S    35.8 W
    SatEvo     Jan 29 19:20     No SatEvo prediction at present
    
    Latest elsets:
    Cosmos 1849                                      11389 x 89 km
    1 18083U 87048A   03026.92650075 -.00000478  30212-5  00000-0 0  9883
    2 18083  62.1871 235.9044 4662691 209.6892 112.8322  6.50927370114750
    Cosmos 1849                                      11389 x 89 km
    1 18083U 87048A   03027.02606094 -.00000478  30212-5  00000-0 0  9900
    2 18083  62.1871 235.8244 4662691 209.6967 346.1354  6.50927340114769
    Cosmos 1849                                      7453 x 94 km
    1 18083U 87048A   03027.94414110 -.00000865  54727-5  00000-0 0  9926
    2 18083  62.1298 235.2591 3624009 209.5241 126.5963  8.48835239114822
    Cosmos 1849                                      7453 x 94 km
    1 18083U 87048A   03028.01412936 -.00000865  54721-5  00000-0 0  9899
    2 18083  62.1298 235.1742 3624009 209.5324 340.4669  8.48814006114820
    
    Note: The recent elsets for this suggest a rapid increase in mean
    motion but are not exactly convincing. SCC's decay prediction for
    Feb 2 but with a 4d uncertainty could imply that this might already
    be down.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    Object: #27562 = 02- 52 B = MEPSI
    
    Decay predictions:
    Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
                    UTC                UTC                  deg      deg
    SCC        Jan 29 11:47     Feb  1 08:32 +-2d        25.2 N   125.2 W
    SatEvo     Jan 29 19:10     Feb  1 10:49 +-20h
    
    Latest elset:
    MEPSI            0.1  0.1  0.0  9.5 d  0.1       253 x 241 km
    1 27562U 02052B   03029.55248709  .03420876  25619-1  46960-2 0  1640
    2 27562  51.6378 349.5490 0008686 131.7554 228.3998 16.10042445  9098
    
    Note: This small object enters eclipse while northbound near 47 deg N
    in the evening sky and leaves eclipse southbound near 29 deg S before
    dawn.
    _____________________________________________________________________
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
    Alan Pickup / COSPAR 2707:  55.8968N   3.1989W   +208m   (WGS84 datum)
    Edinburgh  / SatEvo Home Page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Scotland  / Decay Watch: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
              *
    
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Wed Jan 29 2003 - 14:55:07 EST