JSpOC says we were lucky this time (though the sats are still not named): The close approach predicted at 21:53:00 UTC on 7 Jan 2017 has passed without incident. The JSpOC has confirmed that both satellites are being tracked as single objects, indicating that no collision has occurred. On 7 Jan 2017 14:38, "Till Potinius via Seesat-l" <seesat-l_at_satobs.org> wrote: > Celestrak lists this one: > > > OPS 4412 (00801) - NOAA 16 DEB (41428 with 1km Min Range at 2017 Jan 07 > 21:53:54.734. > > > This fits the data, but not the entire statement from JSpOC: > The JSpOC has identified a close approach between two non-maneuverable > satellites in a sun-synchronous orbit (approximately 800km altitude) with a > time of closest approach at 21:53:00 UTC (16:53 EST) on 7 January 2017. The > probability of collision has been predicted as high as 44%. Affected > operators have been notified. > > > OPS 4412 is definitely a non-maneuverable satellite, the other piece is > just some space debris. > However, the „affected operators“ could be the operators of the > approaching satellites or operators of other satellites in similar orbits. > > 1km minimum range in TLE can result in such a probability with the much > better data at JSpOC. > > > Till > > > > Am 07.01.2017 um 12:13 schrieb Kevin Fetter via Seesat-l < > seesat-l_at_satobs.org>: > > > > Using STK to see, what one's were predicted to have a close encounter, I > had got the result of the following one's > > > > OPS 3367 A = 00734 > > > > DMSP 5D-2 F9 (USA 29) = 18822 > > > > STK shows a result, of the 2 satellites passing within 16 km of each > other, at 21:49:44 utc ( Jan 7 ) > > > > Kevin > > > > -------------------------------------------- > > On Fri, 1/6/17, DAVID DICKINSON via Seesat-l <seesat-l_at_satobs.org> > wrote: > > > > Subject: Satellite Collision > > To: "Seesat List" <seesat-l_at_satobs.org> > > Received: Friday, January 6, 2017, 6:23 PM > > > > Dear Gang, > > Space-Track/JSpOC is currently listing a possibility (44%) > > of an collision between two unnamed satellites in > > sun-synchronous orbit tomorrow at ~21:53... anyone have any > > idea which two satellites are involved? > > Thanks, Dave Dickinson Blog: www.astroguyz.com Twitter: > > http://twitter.com/Astroguyz Youtube: http://www.youtube.com/astroguyz > > _______________________________________________ > > Seesat-l mailing list > > http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-l > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > Seesat-l mailing list > > http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-l > > _______________________________________________ > Seesat-l mailing list > http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-l > _______________________________________________ Seesat-l mailing list http://mailman.satobs.org/mailman/listinfo/seesat-lReceived on Sat Jan 07 2017 - 17:07:16 UTC
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