Decay watch: July 4
Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sun, 4 Jul 1999 17:29:12 +0100
With the end of Molniya 3-14, the next decent-sized decayer may be
#25779 = 99- 32 C = Iridium 14A CSL02 (Long March) rocket on about
July 14. The latest elset for this (now with the Radar Cross Section
in line zero) is:
Irid 14A CSL02r 9.6 3.4 0.0 4.5 d 20 440 x 164 km
1 25779U 99032C 99185.55838422 .01373770 -14891-5 55608-3 0 649
2 25779 86.3656 82.1827 0206450 79.7928 282.6762 15.90239800 3578
This is an evening object for Europe as it enters eclipse near 49 deg
N at about 22:00 local time while southbound. Eclipse exit occurs
over Antarctica.
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Object: #12133 = 81- 2 A = Molniya 3-14
Decay predictions:
Source Prediction made Predicted decay at Latitude Longitude
UTC UTC deg deg
SpaceCom Jun 29 16:23 Jul 3 16:02 +-2d 43.6 S 179.8 E
SpaceCom Jul 1 08:52 Jul 3 00:37 +-1d 15.8 S 75.5 E
SpaceCom Jul 2 19:44 Jul 3 18:31 +-14h 14.7 S 164.8 E
SpaceCom Jul 3 06:32 Jul 3 16:37 +-6h 41.8 S 173.0 E
SpaceCom Jul 3 11:36 Jul 3 17:47 +-4h 36.9 S 27.5 E
SpaceCom Jul 3 15:30 Jul 3 16:23 +-1h 59.2 S 88.7 E
SpaceCom Jul 3 16:30 Jul 3 16:23 +-21m 59.2 S 88.7 E
SatEvo Jun 29 19:10 Jul 4 01:22 +-1.2d
SatEvo Jun 30 18:45 Jul 3 19:22 +-20h
SatEvo Jul 1 22:45 Jul 4 00:59 +-18h
SatEvo Jul 2 23:00 Jul 3 21:20 +-8h 58.7 S 67.9 E
SatEvo Jul 3 09:40 Jul 3 18:08 +-4h 59.7 S 112.7 E
SatEvo Jul 4 16:00 Jul 3 16:29 +-20m 58.8 S 141.6 E
Final elset (3.2 min early against yesterday's prediction):
Molniya 3-14 20.9 696 x 81 km
1 12133U 81002A 99184.57327939 .99999999 98229-5 15450-2 0 2725
2 12133 61.8696 11.8351 0454415 284.6090 70.5116 15.59702870 50402
Note The re-entry probably occurred near perigee between Australia and
Antarctica.
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Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/