#20339 = 89- 94 B = Molniya 3-36 r
My prediction for this is now Ju1 3 15:51 +-1.5d !
I think I can understand why SpaceCom seems to have given up on this
decayer - there has been silence since a prediction of decay for Jun 30
14:38 +-1h. The latest elset:
Molniya 3-36 r 1469 x 90 km
1 20339U 89094B 00183.51605758 .22091177 44484-5 29856-3 0 459
2 20339 63.7408 0.6201 0963268 246.1141 232.0052 14.33664462 76960
The decay has slowed very considerably in a fashion that suggests that
it has fragmented, leaving only its denser core in orbit. I think I have
seen this before with Molniyas when, I surmise, their solar panels
detach at perigee, but this is a rocket...
___________________________________________
#21025 = 90-112 F = Raduga 26 aux motor
Current decay estimates:
SpaceCom: Jul 1 20:40 +-22h 15.8 N 133.0 E (unchanged)
SatEvo: Jul 2 03:56 +-5h 41.7 N 85.9 W
Latest elset:
Raduga 26 aux motor 635 x 119 km
1 21025U 90112F 00183.55001137 .35737016 12668-4 10137-2 0 5479
2 21025 46.3156 199.4686 0382210 39.2587 101.8477 15.63796343131459
The latest elset shows this running 35 seconds late against yesterday's
SatEvo prediction. It remains on the cards that this might decay on a
northbound pass across N America from Las Cruces, New Mexico, at 03:50
UTC to Montreal at 03:58. My predicted decay point, above, falls between
Chicago and Detroit. My predicted elset for this rev:
Raduga 26 aux motor 219 x 106 km
1 21025U 90112F 00184.15283706 2.24788893 15047+2 14971-2 0 95479
2 21025 46.2944 195.9206 0086782 42.8180 317.8548 16.41297939131559
___________________________________________
#26391 = 00- 35 B = Sirius 1 Proton r
Current decay estimates:
SpaceCom: Jul 1 15:10 +-2h 64.2 S 32.7 E
SatEvo: Jul 1 16:14 +-90m 0.0 59.8 W
Latest elset:
Sirius 1 Proton r 148 x 130 km
1 26391U 00035B 00183.46476004 .11681904 78680-5 11696-3 0 94
2 26391 64.8435 284.6074 0013164 280.4231 79.5644 16.50150169 86
I show this decay imminent near a southbound equator crossing over N
Brazil. SpaceCom has an earlier decay time, but has yet to post its
final report.
___________________________________________
#26392 = 00- 35 C = Sirius 1 Proton platform
Current decay estimates:
SpaceCom: Jul 1 14:41 +-4d 31.4 N 52.1 W
SatEvo: (not predicted)
Latest elset:
Sirius 1 Proton plateform 154 x 139 km
1 26392U 00035C 00183.34349964 .09343675 77965-5 15665-3 0 76
2 26392 64.8443 285.0911 0011630 279.1273 81.2094 16.47165231 78
The published elsets for this object are inconsistent - it may have been
confused with the Proton itself.
See also http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
Alan
--
Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl
Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
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This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Sat Jul 01 2000 - 09:33:06 PDT