Decay watch: Mars Global Surveyor Delta 2 rocket

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Sat, 20 Jun 1998 12:22:55 +0100

The Delta 2 rocket which launched the Mars Global Surveyor spacecraft on
1996 November 7 is about to decay.

The latest elset from OIG is:
MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            374 x 143 km
1 24649U 96062B   98171.31615948  .07062005 -11513-4  64171-3 0  2352
2 24649  25.2261  10.8217 0173744  64.2289 297.5925 16.05795561 71698

I predict decay for June 21.9 (21h UTC +-8h). Unfortunately, observation
circumstances are poor for most SeeSaters: it has has an inclination of
only 25 degrees; enters eclipse at about 3 deg S latitude in the local
evening; and leaves eclipse around 10 deg S in the morning sky.

SatEvo-predicted elsets:

MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            358 x 142 km
1 24649U 96062B   98171.50235582  .07724156  10052-1  63914-3 0 92353
2 24649  25.2257   9.3564 0162927  66.7331 294.9739 16.08700345 71724
MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            337 x 142 km
1 24649U 96062B   98171.75009911  .08588837  14840-1  64461-3 0 92357
2 24649  25.2250   7.3972 0147310  70.0811 291.5000 16.12728688 71761
MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            306 x 141 km
1 24649U 96062B   98172.05883566  .10363081  25032-1  65857-3 0 92357
2 24649  25.2240   4.9386 0125150  74.2825 287.0944 16.18532490 71814
MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            277 x 140 km
1 24649U 96062B   98172.30494334  .12785233  44808-1  66492-3 0 92353
2 24649  25.2232   2.9628 0104160  77.6591 283.5049 16.24169891 71856
MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            240 x 138 km
1 24649U 96062B   98172.55007580  .17036645  12087+0  65295-3 0 92356
2 24649  25.2220   0.9769 0077814  81.0529 279.8269 16.31363844 71890
MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            178 x 131 km
1 24649U 96062B   98172.79380518  .52140160  18835+1  79316-3 0 92351
2 24649  25.2201 358.9766 0035884  84.4714 275.9376 16.44447200 71930
MGS Delta 2 r    5.9  2.4  0.0  5.6 d            124 x 112 km
1 24649U 96062B   98172.85424798 3.85602006  50000+2  12050-2 0 92350
2 24649  25.2191 358.4716 0009856  85.3344 274.7782 16.58148308 71948

Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR site 2707:   55d53m48.7s N   3d11m51.2s W    156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Home:      alan@wingar.demon.co.uk       +44 (0)131 477 9144
 Scotland    | SatEvo satellite page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/