Björn Gimle discussed the possibility that a Belgian observation mentioned by Tristan Cools (May 30, around 02:01 UTC) could be the decay of 1989-096A GRANAT. My calculations based on the last released ELSET 99141.750... and the NORAD MSGP4 - model shows the perigee pass on May 29, 23:46 UTC (15.3°N, 53.3°E) over the Gulf of Aden /Yemen / Saudi Arabia. I think this is too early to explain the Belgian observation (I haven't seen any details here). The next perigee -tonight UTC - is June 3, 02:03 UTC (14.7°N, 14.3°E) over Central Africa, maybe the final pass of GRANAT. But MPM shows a realistic possibility that GRANAT can survive the June 03 perigee and will be decay on June 7, 04:23 UTC (17.8°N, 338.3°E) over the African Atlantic coast. Harro Harro.Zimmer.t-online.de Berlin, Germany