Decay watch: June 30

Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Wed, 30 Jun 1999 20:18:25 +0100

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Object: #25670 = 99- 17 B = DSP 19 Titan 4 r

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Jun 27 10:54     Jul  1 10:37 +-19h       22.2 S   171.6 W
SpaceCom   Jun 28 17:18     Jul  1 15:31 +-2d         4.7 S   123.7 W
SpaceCom   Jun 29 17:47     Jul  1 17:19 +-1d        26.9 N    74.6 W

SatEvo     Jun 27 18:50     Jul  2 09:07 +-1d
SatEvo     Jun 28 19:45     Jul  2 04:38 +-16h
SatEvo     Jun 29 19:15     Jul  2 06:07 +-14h
SatEvo     Jun 30 18:55     Jul  2 04:06 +-10h       20.6 S    85.6 W

Latest elset (2 sec early against yesterday's prediction):
DSP 19 Titan4r  10.0  2.5  0.0  3.0 d 31         244 x 145 km
1 25670U 99017B   99181.30684435  .03357802 -73996-5  21342-3 0  1587
2 25670  28.6135  47.2565 0075183 309.5934  49.8064 16.29412925 12806

SatEvo prediction:
DSP 19 Titan4r  10.0  2.5  0.0  3.0 d 31         217 x 138 km
1 25670U 99017B   99182.04039767  .05158360  11760-1  16797-3 0 91584
2 25670  28.6124  41.4513 0060684 319.0277  40.5180 16.35644709 12923
DSP 19 Titan4r  10.0  2.5  0.0  3.0 d 31         192 x 130 km
1 25670U 99017B   99182.52760049  .07920263  29970-1  13567-3 0 91586
2 25670  28.6113  37.5617 0047032 325.3488  34.3456 16.41810408 13003
DSP 19 Titan4r  10.0  2.5  0.0  3.0 d 31         139 x 112 km
1 25670U 99017B   99183.07274869  .24384502  45647+0  99941-4 0 91584
2 25670  28.6090  33.1544 0021248 332.5116  27.3762 16.55273285 13099
DSP 19 Titan4r  10.0  2.5  0.0  3.0 d 31         126 x 106 km
1 25670U 99017B   99183.13297121  .40884058  18690+1  11204-3 0 91580
2 25670  28.6084  32.6609 0015287 333.3137  26.6078 16.58965110 13108
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Object: #12133 = 81-  2 A = Molniya 3-14

Decay predictions:
Source   Prediction made    Predicted decay at      Latitude Longitude
               UTC                UTC                  deg      deg

SpaceCom   Jun 29 16:23     Jul  3 16:02 +-2d        43.6 S   179.8 E

SatEvo     Jun 29 19:10     Jul  4 01:22 +-1.2d
SatEvo     Jun 30 18:45     Jul  3 19:22 +-20h

Latest elset (4.5 min early on yesterday's prediction):
Molniya 3-14                                     3586 x 86 km
1 12133U 81002A   99181.60148898  .28195761  14303-4  54170-3 0  2417
2 12133  61.9091  19.6590 2130091 281.5266 176.2575 11.66200972 50017

SatEvo prediction:
Molniya 3-14                                     3259 x 86 km
1 12133U 81002A   99182.08027546  .38811928  28777-1  69698-3 0 92414
2 12133  61.9051  18.6131 1970147 281.6472  57.0163 12.01937473 50074
Molniya 3-14                                     2907 x 86 km
1 12133U 81002A   99182.57176777  .43741347  39019-1  72607-3 0 92417
2 12133  61.8819  17.4728 1791053 281.7801  58.7656 12.42388534 50133
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Alan
-- 
 Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
 Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
 Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/