SatEvo decay list #100

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Thu Jun 01 2000 - 15:26:47 PDT

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    SatEvo decay list #100  (issued 2000 June 1)
    
    This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is
    posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the
    Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
    Information about SeeSat-L is available at
       http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
    
    In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the
    published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days.
    Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their
    decay by 2000 July 20, although some larger and/or more interesting
    decayers are included beyond that date.
    
    This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo
    page at
                   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the
    Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for
    other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly 
    launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, 
    satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. 
    This is available in zipped form from the same address.
    
    I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger 
    decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at
                   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    This includes my predicted elsets for these objects.
    
    
       #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (2000) -----
                                                Predicted   Actual?
    
     26085   00-  8 E   Globalstar A Delta r                May 14.82
     24694   94- 29 ABC STEP-2 Pegasus deb                  May 16.4
     10135   77- 61 B   Cosmos 925 r                        May 17.14
     26114   00- 17 B   IMAGE Delta 2 r1                    May 17.34
       603   63- 22 B   Scout X-3 r                         May 17.56
     22580   93- 16 H   Cosmos 2237 Zenit deb               May 18.1
     12180   78- 26 V   Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb               May 18.5
     23098   94- 26 B   USA 103 Titan 4 Centaur r           May 18.54
     17769   78- 26 HB  Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb               May 19
     20338   89- 94 A   Molniya 3-36                        May 19.84
     24234   94- 29 LH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                  May 20.3
     22726   93- 48 D   Insat 2B Spelda                     May 20.59
     22470   92- 93 FK  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb               May 20.6
     20496   90- 15 A   LACE (USA 51)                       May 24.60 Note 1
     25235   98- 12 C   SNOE Pegasus r                      May 25.37
     26363   86- 17 NM  Mir deb                             May 26.6
     24211   96- 44 D   Italsat 2 Spelda                   June  1.48
     26371   91- 15 K   Astra 1B Ariane 44LP deb           June  1.59
     24998   94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June  2.0
     26240   99- 57 EE  CBERS LM4 deb             June  2.4
     13576   78- 26 FP  Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb     June  6
     14411   68- 91 CM  Cosmos 249 deb            June  7
     23782   96-  7 B   NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r   June  7
      4624   70- 91 D   Cosmos 375 deb            June  8
      4985   70- 25 HF  Thorad Agena D deb        June  9
     23858   96- 27 B   SAX Centaur r             June  9
     24377   94- 29 QE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June  9
      4006   61- 15 JL  Transit 4A deb            June 12
     24093   94- 29 EQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 12
     10860   78- 45 A   Cosmos 1005               June 14
     22507   92- 93 GS  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb     June 14
      3566   68- 97 S   Cosmos 252 deb            June 17
     11629   79- 99 A   Cosmos 1145               June 17
     24147   94- 29 GW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 17
     23502   95-  8 B   Cosmos 2306 r             June 18
     24771   97- 16 D   Thaicom 3 Spelda          June 18
     24982   94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 19
     24175   94- 29 JA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 20
      8092   72- 58 DT  Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb     June 21
     16934   86- 68 A   Molniya 1-68              June 23
     11268   79- 12 A   Cosmos 1077               June 24
     22402   92- 93 CT  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb     June 25
     25939   79-104 M   CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb        June 26
     26367   00- 26 C   Simsat 1 Rokot r          June 27
     17206   86- 19 BJ  SPOT 1 r deb              June 28
      1721   65- 82 CC  OV2-1/LCS2 deb            June 29
     14555   81- 53 JN  Cosmos 1275 deb           June 30
     19390   87- 20 BW  Cosmos 1823 deb           July  1
     24216   94- 29 KP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  2
     26254   99- 57 EQ  CBERS LM4 deb             July  5
      7874   72- 58 AW  Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb     July  6
     24262   94- 29 MM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  6
     26324   99- 57 HH  CBERS LM4 deb             July  8 Note 2
     22542   92- 93 HC  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb     July 11
      9530   74- 94 E   Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2      July 12
     21025   90-112 F   Raduga 26 aux motor       July 16
     24085   94- 29 EG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 20
     26357   00- 24 B   USA 149 Titan 4 r         July 20
     24878   97- 35 C   GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D)       July 24
     25123   97- 85 A   Early Bird                July 24
     25739   99- 26 E   Terriers adapter cone   August  1
     13967   83- 25 D   Molniya 1-57 r2         August 14
     20698   90- 61 F   Cosmos 2085 aux motor   August 23
     23941   96- 37 B   TOMS r                  August 28
     24321   96- 56 C   GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2     August 28
     20399   89-101 E   Cosmos 2054 aux mot     August 30
     26361   00- 25 B   GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1     August 31
     10362   77- 91 A   Cosmos 955           September
     20339   89- 94 B   Molniya 3-36 r       September?
     25310   98- 23 E   Globalstar 6 Delta r September
     20255   89- 78 A   Molniya 1-76           October
     23501   95-  8 A   Cosmos 2306            October
     23549   95- 18 A   Ofeq 3                 October
     25032   97- 67 C   GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2    October
     25547   98- 68 B   Bonum Delta 2 r        October
     25995   99- 68 B   Terra Centaur r        October
     25124   97- 85 B   Early Bird r          November
     25470   98- 51 D   Iridium 79            November
     25529   98- 66 C   Iridium 85            December
    
    Notes
    
    1. No elsets were published for #20496 = LACE. The decay time is
    that reported by SpaceCom.
    
    2. No recent elsets.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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