SatEvo decay list #100 (issued 2000 June 1) This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the satellite observers mailing list, SeeSat-L, and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe. Information about SeeSat-L is available at http://www.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 July 20, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. This and other recent decay lists are available on the WWW via my SatEvo page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ Linked from this page are files containing recent elsets for all the Iridium satellites, all the objects in this decay list, plus elsets for other selected objects including Mir, ISS, the Shuttle and all newly launched and/or catalogued objects. I also maintain a large file, satbase.tle, containing recent elsets for more than 8,300 satellites. This is available in zipped form from the same address. I publish my own and SpaceCom's updated predictions for the larger decayers during their final days on my Decay Watch page at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ This includes my predicted elsets for these objects. # Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) ----- Predicted Actual? 26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r May 14.82 24694 94- 29 ABC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 16.4 10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r May 17.14 26114 00- 17 B IMAGE Delta 2 r1 May 17.34 603 63- 22 B Scout X-3 r May 17.56 22580 93- 16 H Cosmos 2237 Zenit deb May 18.1 12180 78- 26 V Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 18.5 23098 94- 26 B USA 103 Titan 4 Centaur r May 18.54 17769 78- 26 HB Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 19 20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 May 19.84 24234 94- 29 LH STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 20.3 22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda May 20.59 22470 92- 93 FK Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 20.6 20496 90- 15 A LACE (USA 51) May 24.60 Note 1 25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r May 25.37 26363 86- 17 NM Mir deb May 26.6 24211 96- 44 D Italsat 2 Spelda June 1.48 26371 91- 15 K Astra 1B Ariane 44LP deb June 1.59 24998 94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 2.0 26240 99- 57 EE CBERS LM4 deb June 2.4 13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb June 6 14411 68- 91 CM Cosmos 249 deb June 7 23782 96- 7 B NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r June 7 4624 70- 91 D Cosmos 375 deb June 8 4985 70- 25 HF Thorad Agena D deb June 9 23858 96- 27 B SAX Centaur r June 9 24377 94- 29 QE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 9 4006 61- 15 JL Transit 4A deb June 12 24093 94- 29 EQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 12 10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 14 22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 14 3566 68- 97 S Cosmos 252 deb June 17 11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 17 24147 94- 29 GW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17 23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 18 24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 18 24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 19 24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 20 8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 21 16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June 23 11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 24 22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 25 25939 79-104 M CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb June 26 26367 00- 26 C Simsat 1 Rokot r June 27 17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 28 1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb June 29 14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb June 30 19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb July 1 24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 2 26254 99- 57 EQ CBERS LM4 deb July 5 7874 72- 58 AW Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb July 6 24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 6 26324 99- 57 HH CBERS LM4 deb July 8 Note 2 22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 11 9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 12 21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor July 16 24085 94- 29 EG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 20 26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 20 24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July 24 25123 97- 85 A Early Bird July 24 25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone August 1 13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 14 20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor August 23 23941 96- 37 B TOMS r August 28 24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 28 20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot August 30 26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 31 10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r September? 25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r September 20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October 23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 October 23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 October 25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 October 25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October 25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r October 25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r November 25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 November 25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 December Notes 1. No elsets were published for #20496 = LACE. The decay time is that reported by SpaceCom. 2. No recent elsets. Alan -- Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707: 55d53m48.7s N 3d11m51.2s W 156m asl Edinburgh | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144 Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750 Scotland | SatEvo page: http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/ ----------------------------------------------------------------- Unsubscribe from SeeSat-L by sending a message with 'unsubscribe' in the SUBJECT to SeeSat-L-request@lists.satellite.eu.org http://www2.satellite.eu.org/seesat/seesatindex.html
This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jun 01 2000 - 15:37:04 PDT