Decay watch: 2000 Jun 6

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Tue Jun 06 2000 - 14:54:09 PDT

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    #23782 = 96-  7 B = NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r
    
    Current predictions for decay:
       SpaceCom: Jun  6 17:22 +-12h        1.3 N    95.5 W
       SatEvo  : Jun  7 10:08 +-12h        2.0 S   167.6 W
    SpaceCom's latest prediction is rather wide of the mark since it is/was
    still in orbit at the epoch of the latest elset:
    NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r                          1015 x 115 km
    1 23782U 96007B   00158.74381114  .54202425 -27765-4  16996-2 0  4597
    2 23782   6.4741  47.9019 0648138 185.8535 173.2295 15.00698041 51471
    This shows it running 35 sec early against the prediction I posted on my
    Decay Watch WWW page yesterday. I predict that this will decay over the
    central Pacific, well to the S of the Hawaiian Is.
    My prediction for the final rev:
    NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r                          319 x 105 km
    1 23782U 96007B   00159.38853195 2.90843253  16710+2  26119-2 0 94594
    2 23782   6.4686  42.7807 0161920 195.9978 163.4848 16.22835574 51574
          ________________________________________________________
    
    #23858 = 96- 27 B = SAX Centaur r
    
    Current predictions for decay:
       SpaceCom: Jun  9 11:40 +-2d         3.6 N    94.1 E
       SatEvo  : Jun  9 16:26 +-17h
    The latest elset, which has this 1 sec late against yesterday's
    prediction, is:
    SAX Centaur r                                    233 x 232 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00158.70354359  .02128387  44902-2  15736-2 0  7714
    2 23858   3.9900  74.7125 0001283  65.2361 294.7969 16.15230001229066
    
    
    See http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ for more details.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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