Decay watch: 2000 Jun 8

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Thu Jun 08 2000 - 13:42:49 PDT

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    The anticipated geomagnetic storm is now in progress.
    
    
    #23858 = 96- 27 B = SAX Centaur r
    
    Current decay predictions are:
       SpaceCom: Jun  9 10:09 +-15h        3.8 N   105.4 E
       SatEvo:   Jun  9 10:24 +-5h         0.3 S   179.4 W
    
    The latest elset...
    SAX Centaur r                                    199 x 197 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00160.54920440  .05776892 -36687-4  14059-2 0  7814
    2 23858   3.9880  58.2613 0001917 239.1003 121.0512 16.28043944229362
    ... has this 6 sec early against yesterday's prediction. This could drop
    almost anywhere around its near-circular near-equatorial orbit. My
    prediction places it near the International Date Line over the central
    Pacific.
    
    My prediction for the final revs:
    SAX Centaur r                                    159 x 157 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00161.28138695  .22024209  37571+0  10625-2 0 97817
    2 23858   3.9876  51.6608 0001754 252.2535 107.7272 16.42836054229488
    SAX Centaur r                                    151 x 149 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00161.34201540  .32352465  92911+0  97842-3 0 97819
    2 23858   3.9875  51.1060 0001545 253.3590 106.6239 16.46039382229490
    SAX Centaur r                                    136 x 134 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00161.40249110  .74212751  67512+1  67642-3 0 97815
    2 23858   3.9874  50.5494 0001189 254.4682 105.5184 16.51676123229506
    
    More at http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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    This archive was generated by hypermail 2b29 : Thu Jun 08 2000 - 13:44:10 PDT