Decay watch: 2000 Jun 9

From: Alan Pickup (alan@wingar.demon.co.uk)
Date: Fri Jun 09 2000 - 12:32:54 PDT

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    #23858 = 96- 27 B = SAX Centaur r
    
    The final elset for this is:
    SAX Centaur r                                    169 x 166 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00161.03779052  .18212241 -37629-4  13476-2 0  7849
    2 23858   3.9954  53.9036 0002062  81.1363 279.5492 16.39476483229446
    
    The estimated decay times are:
       SpaceCom: Jun  9 05:29 +-2h         2.1 N   105.3 E
       SatEvo:   Jun  9 05:59 +-2h         0.2 N   118.9 W
    
    The final elset has this 32 sec early against yesterday's prediction.
    The decay accelerated during the final day, probably as a result of the
    impact of the geomagnetic storm on the 8th. I put decay over the western
    Pacific about halfway around the second of these SatEvo-predicted
    orbits:
    SAX Centaur r                                    154 x 152 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00161.15914447  .34655221  10372+1  12825-2 0 97845
    2 23858   3.9952  52.7976 0001626  83.3401 276.6783 16.44777809229461
    SAX Centaur r                                    138 x 136 km
    1 23858U 96027B   00161.21965829  .81166696  84374+1  85944-3 0 97843
    2 23858   3.9951  52.2415 0001223  84.4484 275.5655 16.50878031229472
    
    See http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/dkwatch/ for more.
    
    
    Alan
    -- 
     Alan Pickup | COSPAR 2707:  55d53m48.7s N  3d11m51.2s W   156m asl
     Edinburgh   | Tel: +44 (0)131 477 9144     Fax: +44 (0)870 0520750
     Scotland    | SatEvo page:   http://www.wingar.demon.co.uk/satevo/
    
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